U.S. Election: Policy And Positioning

The upcoming U.S. Election is expected to be one of the most contentious in history. Inflation is trending lower, supporting Federal Reserve rate cuts. Cyclical and secular economic factors tend to influence the market more significantly than politics. Investors should remain focused on long-term fundamentals and stay invested.

PCE Inflation Rises 2.5% In June, As Expected

Is The Dramatic Yen Short Squeeze Over?

SPX 500: Further Weakness May Trigger A Medium-Term Global Risk-Off Event

Q2 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP At 2.8%, Above Forecast

U.S. GDP Growth Beats Expectations, But Fails To Dent The Market's Faith In Rate Cuts

U.S. GDP Growth Beats Expectations, But Fails To Dent The Market's Faith In Rate Cuts. GDP grew an annualised 2.8% in second-quarter 2024. Core PCE deflator rose 2.9% annualised versus the 2.7% expectation.

Nasdaq has dropped 7% in two weeks as the tech selloff picks up steam

The Nasdaq Composite has dropped 7.1% in two weeks as the tech selloff picks up steam. The tech-focused index is now trading below its 50-day moving average for the first time since early May. Wednesday's 3.6% drop in the Nasdaq is the worst single day performance for the index since July 11.

SPY: Don't Be The 'Greater Fool'

Country Risk: My 2024 Data Update

Richard Drury updated his most recent update of country risk for July 2024. He looks at political structure, exposure to war/violence, corruption, and protections for property rights. He argues that a trade-off between democracy and autocracy is more risky for investors. He says a democratic country is more likely to be stable and predictable.

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion. The powerful short-covering rally of the yen and unwinding of carry trades continues. For the second time this week, the PBOC has surprised by cutting interest rates. The US 2-10-year yield curve is the least inverted in two years.

Hoisington Investment Management Q2 2024 Review And Outlook

Climbing Limo GDP Forecast For Q2 2024

Greenback And Yen Extend Gains

3 Key Sentiment Indicators Point To A Market Top

Second Quarter Results Will Break The Earnings Stalemate

Short Covering Squeezes The Yen Higher

S&P 500: The Psychology Behind Corrections And Why Investors Should Buy The Dip

Signs of fear are making the headlines after the S&P 500 Index (SPX) came under moderate selling pressure. The widely anticipated pullback has been relatively mild so far. The SPX merely lost -2.9% from its all-time highs before rebounding in the last trading session. Stratos Capital Partners is skeptical that this pullback is an early warning sign of a bear market.

USD/CAD Eyes Breakout As Oil Price Slide Continues, BoC Meeting Next

USD/CAD is nearing a breakout after being range-bound since April. The Bank of Canada is expected to cut rates this week due to rising unemployment, falling consumer spending, and slowing GDP per capita. Oil prices continued their slide at the start of the week. The Canadian Dollar is being driven by falling oil prices and a weakening Canadian Dollar. USD/Cad is back at the top end of a wedge pattern.

Chicago Fed: Economic Growth Decreased In June

Tech Still Likely To Deliver On Earnings

Tech still likely to deliver on high corporate earnings expectations. We think major tech firms can keep delivering on high expectations. U.S. Stocks retreated last week, led by technology names. We expect some bouts of volatility ahead over the short term. A tech-driven pullback has hit stocks on hopes for cooling inflation and interest rate cuts.