Pre-Market Earnings Report for May 6, 2024 : BNTX, TSN, CNA, JLL, AMG, FRPT, KRYS, AMR, AXSM, AESI, IART, SHO

Dividends By The Numbers In April 2024

April 2024 proved to be yet another mixed month, on net, for the dividend-paying stocks of the U.S. Stock market. The number of extra dividends announced presaged a multi-year decline for the stocks in April 2014. Favorable dividend changes outnumbered unfavorable changes by a margin of 27% year-over-year. The most disappointing aspect of April 2024 is that industrial firms were not in favorables.

The Stock Market Is Vulnerable, But On Solid Footing

Home Market Outlook Today's Market The Stock Market Is Vulnerable, But On Solid Footing. The outlook for earnings growth remains fairly positive, but much of this is already in the price. This leaves the stock market vulnerable to the downside in a stagflation-like environment.

Evolving Fed Expectations And Asset-Allocation Implications

Franklin Templeton: The current macro backdrop is slightly atypical for an impending Fed easing cycle. Growth and labor markets remain strong, inflation levels are elevated. The implications for multi-asset investors remain positive for equities. We believe reflationary macro conditions and a peak in the fed funds rate are supportive for risk-taking.

'Sell in May and go away': Does it apply in 2024?

'Sell in May and go away': Does it apply in 2024? The adage posits that stocks tend to underperform in the six months from May to October. The S&P 500 has had positive returns in 75% of summer periods. But bears have been pointing to the outsized market gains since late October.

Solar Stocks, Berkshire, And The Latest Costco Craze

Home Earnings Analysis Solar Stocks, Berkshire, And The Latest Costco Craze. First Solar Earnings and Shareholder Meeting on Tap. The solar industry is now among the most susceptible areas to higher borrowing costs. Costco's same-store sales figures come out this week.

U.S. Recession Warning Via States Economies Was A False Alarm

Recession Probability Falls After Hitting Double-Top

The probability the U.S. Economy will see a recession begin sometime in the next 12 months has started to fall after hitting a double-top. Recession Probability peaked at 81% in July 2023. The expected timing of rate cuts by the Fed has been slipping later and later during the past six weeks.

Will April's pullback bring 'May flowers’ for stocks? Or is it time to sell in May and go away?

April was a challenging month for the stock market with the Dow falling by 4.9% and the S&P 500 sliding 4.2%. April's pullback was a temporary pullback in a broader uptrend. Some say the market will rebound and bring 'May flowers' of a rebound.

A Good Start To 2024

Many financial markets hit record highs in the first quarter of 2024. The S&P 500 Index of stocks of large US companies hit a record high late in January. The annual rate of inflation has slowed since its 2022 peak but is still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Weekly Report: what happened at SH last week (0422-0426)?

Barclays sees an uptick in recession fears

Barclays sees an uptick in recession fears. The firm says its "early recession" portfolio basket has seen its largest increase in months. Barclays says this suggests that recessionary fears are starting to creep back into the equity space. The bank's investment baskets include five stages of the business cycle.

SA Analyst Roundtable: When will the Fed cut rates?

SA Analyst Roundtable: When will the Fed cut rates? The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meets this week. Lawrence Fuller, Michael Kramer, Logan Kane and James Kostohryz say the first rate cut will likely come in May 2025. The SA analysts say they don't expect the Fed to cut interest rates in 2024.

SPY: The Setup Looks Extremely Bearish

SPY has been on a strong run recently, but the outlook is very bearish right now. The S&P 500 is overvalued based on several valuation models. A weakening macroeconomic outlook also poses a severe headwind for SPY. SPY is facing a challenging economic environment and outlook.

J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic says the correction in stocks isn't finished yet

J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic says the correction in stocks isn't finished yet. He says the current slump in stocks and bonds isn't over. Quarterly reports are due this week. Inflation and geopolitical tensions are the main risks, he says. The 2-year US Treasury yield is consolidating at around 5%.

U.S. equities see the largest net buying since late February - GS

U.S. Equities see the largest net buying since late February - Goldman Sachs. The S&P 500 was down for the third straight week and traded lower for six straight sessions. Bitcoin-sensitive stocks, winners of the last 12 months underperformed. Overall U.S.-based equities saw the biggest net buying of the year.

The S&P 500 pullback may not be totally over – RBC Capital Markets

The S&P 500 has retraced 5.6% from its all-time trading high of 5,264.85. RBC Capital Markets says a further 10% pullback is a strong possibility. The financial institution says the next major levels to watch are 4,931 and 4,845.

Weekly Report: what happened at SH last week (0415-0419)?

S&P 500 drops below 5,000 for first time in two months

What’s next for the S&P 500? SA analysts weigh in

What’s next for the S&P 500? SA analysts weigh in. The month of April has not been a friendly one for the benchmark S&p 500 (SP500) The index has now come down by roughly 5% in April and closed in negative territory for the fifth consecutive trading session.