SPX 500: Further Weakness May Trigger A Medium-Term Global Risk-Off Event

Q2 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP At 2.8%, Above Forecast

Worried About Tech Selloff? ETF Strategies to Play

U.S. GDP Growth Beats Expectations, But Fails To Dent The Market's Faith In Rate Cuts

U.S. GDP Growth Beats Expectations, But Fails To Dent The Market's Faith In Rate Cuts. GDP grew an annualised 2.8% in second-quarter 2024. Core PCE deflator rose 2.9% annualised versus the 2.7% expectation.

SPY: Don't Be The 'Greater Fool'

Country Risk: My 2024 Data Update

Richard Drury updated his most recent update of country risk for July 2024. He looks at political structure, exposure to war/violence, corruption, and protections for property rights. He argues that a trade-off between democracy and autocracy is more risky for investors. He says a democratic country is more likely to be stable and predictable.

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion. The powerful short-covering rally of the yen and unwinding of carry trades continues. For the second time this week, the PBOC has surprised by cutting interest rates. The US 2-10-year yield curve is the least inverted in two years.

Positioning For The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Hoisington Investment Management Q2 2024 Review And Outlook

Winter (Rate Cuts) Is Coming

The 2024 deficit estimate has increased by $400 billion, a 27% rise from their estimate five months ago. The U.S. Deficit for 2024 is expected to be $2.0 trillion, 7% of our Gross Domestic Product. The CBO forecasts no recession for the next decade. The IMF has warned of runaway spending in the United States.

Climbing Limo GDP Forecast For Q2 2024

Greenback And Yen Extend Gains

3 Key Sentiment Indicators Point To A Market Top

Second Quarter Results Will Break The Earnings Stalemate

Short Covering Squeezes The Yen Higher

S&P 500: The Psychology Behind Corrections And Why Investors Should Buy The Dip

Signs of fear are making the headlines after the S&P 500 Index (SPX) came under moderate selling pressure. The widely anticipated pullback has been relatively mild so far. The SPX merely lost -2.9% from its all-time highs before rebounding in the last trading session. Stratos Capital Partners is skeptical that this pullback is an early warning sign of a bear market.

USD/CAD Eyes Breakout As Oil Price Slide Continues, BoC Meeting Next

USD/CAD is nearing a breakout after being range-bound since April. The Bank of Canada is expected to cut rates this week due to rising unemployment, falling consumer spending, and slowing GDP per capita. Oil prices continued their slide at the start of the week. The Canadian Dollar is being driven by falling oil prices and a weakening Canadian Dollar. USD/Cad is back at the top end of a wedge pattern.

Chicago Fed: Economic Growth Decreased In June

Chart Of The Week: Rotation... And A Question

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Chart Of The Week: Rotation... And A Question. After languishing for ages, smaller-capitalization stocks came roaring back over the past couple weeks. Meanwhile, the “Big Tech” stocks that had been leading markets tumbled across the board. Mike Larson's MoneyShow Chart of the Week for July 22, 2024.

Tech Still Likely To Deliver On Earnings

Tech still likely to deliver on high corporate earnings expectations. We think major tech firms can keep delivering on high expectations. U.S. Stocks retreated last week, led by technology names. We expect some bouts of volatility ahead over the short term. A tech-driven pullback has hit stocks on hopes for cooling inflation and interest rate cuts.