U.S. Economy Still On Track For Modest Pickup In Growth For Q2
US Economy Still On Track For Modest Pickup In Growth For Q2 US economic activity is expected to post a modestly firmer increase in the second quarter. A possible early sign of trouble for later this year is the ongoing slowdown in labor market growth. A new poll of Americans “wrongly believe the US is in an economic recession”
Seeking Alpha · 2h ago
Benchmarking Your Portfolio May Have More Risk Than You Think
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Subprime Auto Loans Are Getting Messy
In April, of subprime auto loans were 60 days or more delinquent, the worst April on record. Subprime delinquencies were already rising from 2015 through 2019. Nearly all subprime lending is for used vehicles, and most of it is for older used vehicles.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Should Invesco S&P SmallCap Value with Momentum ETF (XSVM) Be on Your Investing Radar?
NASDAQ · 1d ago
S&P 500: It Is All About Liquidity
David Ksir: Liquidity is the key factor that drives market performance. He says the S&P 500 is in a secular growth trend. The aging population and slow growth require more liquidity, he says. The Fed's balance sheet and interest rates are the most important drivers of valuation.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Jump In Japanese Bond Yields Fails To Lift The Yen
Most of the G10 currencies are +/- against the dollar. MSCI Asia Pacific Index is off to a firm start this week. July WTI reached nearly $80, its best level since May 1. Five Fed officials speak today. Japan and Australia will see the preliminary May PMI reports.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Weekly Report: what happened at IWN last week (0513-0517)?
Weekly Report · 2d ago
S&P 500 Earnings And StyleBox Update: Can Nvidia Earnings Re-Ignite A Rather Subdued Tech Sector?
Home Earnings Analysis S&P 500 Earnings And StyleBox Update: Can Nvidia Earnings Re-Ignite A Rather Subdued Tech Sector? With Nvidia scheduled to report their quarterly results on 5/22/24 after the closing bell, earnings season has likely been extended for another week. Nvidia is the new stock market darling.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
The Slowdown Is Here, And Markets Cheer
Consumer confidence for April came in well below economists’ expectations. The market loves itself a Goldilocks economy, where modest growth is paired with declining inflation and a better likelihood of interest rate cuts. The slowdown is here, and markets are fine with that, says ismagilov.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Federal Reserve Watch: Plenty Of Money Still Around
Federal Reserve has been reducing the size of its securities portfolio by over $1 trillion. The M2 money stock has increased at a compound annual rate of $20 trillion over the past four years. Despite the reduction in the Federal Reserve's securities portfolio, there is still plenty of money circulating around in the banking system.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
S&P 500: Too Easy, Week Starting 20th May (Technical Analysis)
The S&P 500 is back in blue sky at new all-time highs. Next week's call looks easy - everything is bullish and the rally should continue. A dip should hold 5264. But what if it doesn't? Andrew McElroy updates the outlook for the week starting 20th May.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
How Did The Fed Come Up With That 2% Inflation Target? Consider The Facts
Jim Sloan says the Fed has a 2% inflation goal for the US economy. The long term average for inflation is actually slightly above 3%, contradicting the Fed's 2% goal. The natural tendency of inflation is probably 3% and the Fed will find it difficult to reach a sustainable 2%. Inflation is an established element in stock returns.
Seeking Alpha · 4d ago
Is Buffett's Cash Hoard A Market Warning?
Warren Buffett’s cash and short-term investments (read T-bills) exceed $189 billion as of Q1, 2024. The current market capitalization-to-GDP ratio is outside the historical range. With the size of Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett's cash hoard is difficult to deploy.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
The Dollar Continues To Recover
The dollar's recovery begun yesterday has extended into today's activity. The greenback is higher against all the G10 currencies and most emerging market currencies. China's new property initiative may not have helped the yuan. Japan's markets were mixed, but South Korea, Taiwan, and New Zealand shares fell. Gold is consolidating after reaching a four week high yesterday.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
Chart Of The Moment: Not All Jobs Are Equal
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
3 Things - CPI, The Stock Market 'Casino' And Stagflation
Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis 3 Things - CPI, The Stock Market 'Casino' And Stagflation. Wednesday's CPI report was a big relief for the Fed after 4 consecutive upside surprises. Inflation continues to move in the right direction, but unemployment is well below trend. Dave Portnoy of Barstool Sports calls the stock market a casino.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
3 Major Things That Are Nothing Like 2008
Bret Jensen says the key sectors that triggered the Great Financial Crisis are in substantially better shape than they were in 2008. He says the major financial institutions are in much better shape now than in 2008 and the residential real estate market is in good shape. He cites three major things that are nothing like 2008 in the current market backdrop.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
Beneath The Skin Of April CPI Inflation: 6-Month Core CPI Hits 4%, 6-Month Core Services CPI Hits 6%, Both Highest Since Mid-2023
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
This Current Wave Of Inflation Is Not Transitory, The First Wave Was
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
U.S. Inflation: Work In Progress
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
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