Rates Spark: Euro Rates Eyeing Quicker ECB Cuts

Country Risk: My 2024 Data Update

Richard Drury updated his most recent update of country risk for July 2024. He looks at political structure, exposure to war/violence, corruption, and protections for property rights. He argues that a trade-off between democracy and autocracy is more risky for investors. He says a democratic country is more likely to be stable and predictable.

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion. The powerful short-covering rally of the yen and unwinding of carry trades continues. For the second time this week, the PBOC has surprised by cutting interest rates. The US 2-10-year yield curve is the least inverted in two years.

Rates Spark: Weak PMIs Help Build The Case For Rate Cuts

Weaker eurozone PMIs have helped markets price in two more ECB rate cuts for 2024. US manufacturing PMI slipped back below 50 and new home sales weakened, but services PMI edged higher. We continue to view the environment as prone to more risk-off, higher volatility and lower market rates.

Flash PMI Signals Stalling Of Eurozone Economy

July PMIs Point To A Very Sluggish Eurozone Recovery

Greenback And Yen Extend Gains

Rates Spark: Why September Looks Like A Good Month For An ECB Rate Cut

Rates Spark: Markets Are Still Digesting Biden's Departure

US Biden's withdrawal did not have a material impact on EUR rates. The biggest impact for Treasuries was a late-in-the-day rise in yields. Weaker growth data later this week should help the EUR curve steepening. The ECB's Survey of Monetary Analysts shows a well-anchored ECB terminal rate of 2.25%.

Short Covering Squeezes The Yen Higher

Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Advances; Dollar And Gold Gain - Global Markets Today While US Slept

U.S. Stock markets closed in green on Monday, July 22nd. S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rebounded from their worst weekly performance since April. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended a two-session decline. Japan's Nikkei 225 closed higher as investors returned to growth stocks.

Weekly Report: what happened at IEV last week (0715-0719)?

Dollar Mixed As Markets Digest U.S. Political Developments

Asia Down, Europe Markets Advance; Dollar Retreats While Gold Holds Above $2,400 - Global Markets Today While US Slept

U.S. Stock markets closed lower on Friday, July 19th. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.93% and closed at 40,287.53. Energy shares experienced the largest decline, while healthcare and utilities were the only sectors to post gains. The global tech outage was caused by a glitch in Crowdstrike's software.

Weekly Commentary: Election On The Brink

Americans fear their country is spiraling out of control following an assassination attempt on Donald Trump. This week likely marked the onset of a period of de-risking/deleveraging. The S&P 500 was at record highs in Monday's trading. Doug Noland offers his weekly market commentary.

ECB: Next Stop, September

Global Consumer Spending Shows Resilience In Second Quarter

Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. PCE, GDP, And Earnings Expected To Drive Volatility

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. PCE, GDP, And Earnings Expected To Drive Volatility. This week, markets were influenced by trade war fears, US political developments, and a global cyber outage. In Asia, the Japanese yen weakened, and Chinese authorities remained silent on economic goals. Next week, US PCE and GDP data will be key drivers of market volatility.

Dollar Strengthens Amid Global Market Decline; Asia And Europe Markets Down, Gold Drops

U.S. Stock markets closed lower on Thursday, July 18. All major indexes dropped, with the Dow breaking its streak of record highs. Initial jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 243,000 for the week ending July 13. On Friday, Japan's Nikkei 225 closed lower and Chinese stocks declined.

Rates Spark: Lagarde Clear About Not Committing To Cuts