A Falling Euro Is Not The ECB's Biggest Headache

ING says falling euro is not the ECB’s biggest concern on the road to a June rate cut. Other factors can lead to a further depreciation of the common currency. The euro has dropped 4 percent against the US dollar since the start of the year. Euro's fundamentals are stronger than in 2022, says ING.

Can a single capital markets union help European competitiveness?

Can a single capital markets union help European competitiveness? The main idea aims to diversify funding sources across the bloc and facilitate cross-border investment. The new plan aims to replace oversight of 27 member states' capital markets with one single market. The EU leaders are looking at a proposal for a single European capital market union.

Inflation Progress May Be Bumpy, But Is Likely To Continue

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Inflation Progress May Be Bumpy, But Is Likely To Continue. Inflation cooled substantially last year, but upside surprises in early 2024 for the US and Europe have many investors concerned. Global central banks seem to be making continued progress. In inflation, inflation is improving in more major economies.

Decent Eurozone Production Figures Are No Break From A Weak Trend

Weekly Report: what happened at HEZU last week (0408-0412)?

Weekly Commentary: Trouble Brewing In Financial Asset Wonderland

Doug Noland: The Fed's misguided dovish pivot unleashed precariously loose market conditions. He says the market is in the midst of a bubble. He argues that Bubbles can inflate to unimaginable extremes - and then quadruple. Noland says the late-cycle fear of Bubbles is missing out on the reality.

Global Market Perspectives Q2 2024: What's Not To Like?

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Perspectives Q2 2024: What's Not To Like? U.S. Economy continues to grow, overshadowing other major global economies of 2023. With most other global economies still struggling, the U.s. Will remain the strongest global performer.

Where We Stand

ECB's Press Conference Signals Its First Cut Will Be Hawkish

ING: ECB's Press Conference Signals Its First Cut Will be Hawkish. European Central Bank has kept all policy interest rates unchanged. Inflationary pressures have decreased. The ECB's assessment of the eurozone economy has not changed since the March meeting. First cut will be a hawkish move, says ING.

Dollar Consolidates But Adjustment Is Not Over

Higher than expected US CPI for the third consecutive month drove US interest rates sharply higher and lifted the greenback broadly. The market appears to be catching its breath today, but the shallow consolidation suggests the moves are not over. The dollar has reached nearly JPY153.30. Gold fell by about $18.75 an ounce yesterday, its largest loss in about a month.

When Will Central Banks Cut Interest Rates?

U.S. CPI, New Security Initiatives With Tokyo And Manila, Bank Of Canada Meeting

The dollar has been confined to narrow ranges ahead of the US CPI report. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand signaled that it was in no hurry to cut rates. The New Zealand dollar is leading the G10 currencies higher. The Hang Seng and the mainland companies in Asia are leading the region. Gold is consolidating in about $2345-$2360.

Rates Spark: Limited Potential For Higher Bund Yields

Broaden Your Investment Horizons

It may be time to look beyond the U.S. For equity market performance. Looser monetary and fiscal policy could add momentum to what already appears to be a global cyclical recovery. Europe could cut its interest rates sooner than the United States. Europe's manufacturing activity could get a boost from stimulus.

Weekly Report: what happened at HEZU last week (0401-0405)?

Global Equity Valuations: Pockets Of Opportunity

Global Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2024

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Global Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2024. The global economic picture did not change significantly in the first quarter of 2024. We continue to believe a soft landing is the most likely outcome for major economies. The US economy continues to outperform, with growth above potential.

Global PMI Selling Price Inflation Accelerates To 10-Month High

Global PMI Selling Price Inflation Accelerates To 10-Month High. Average prices charged for goods and services rose globally at the fastest rate for ten months in March. The steepest rates of selling price inflation were recorded in the UK and the US. The main area of stubborn price pressure remains the service sector.

Equity Outlook: Earnings Step Back Into The Market Spotlight

Too many companies with solid earnings growth haven’t been rewarded in narrow equity markets. Global equities advanced briskly in the first quarter. Earnings growth is poised to take center stage as a driver of stock returns for wider equity markets, says AllianceBernstein. The market's resilience reflects a potential turning point for equity investors.

Finding Victories In A Confusing First Quarter For Global Markets