News
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Currencies and their correlations to commodities
The foreign exchange marketplace is what certain investors believe to drive the entire global network of markets. Many different currencies have different correlations to the commodities markets, and the position
Seekingalpha · 05/25 14:08
Investors Pull $1.2 Billion From the Largest Junk Bond ETF
Investors in exchange-traded funds are abandoning junk bonds as riskier assets come under pressure from inflation fears.
Bloomberg · 05/14 16:31
Dip-Buying Index Funds Are Saving Wall Street From Tech Wreck
Bloomberg · 05/14 12:14
Risk-Parity Trades Get Slammed as Bonds and Stocks Move Together
A quantitative strategy with $400 billion in play is headed for its worst week since the pandemic hit after inflation fears rocked assets across the spectrum.
Bloomberg · 05/14 12:02
Richard C. Young & CO., LTD. Buys iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF, U.S. ...
GuruFocus News · 05/13 18:38
Why the Swiss Franc Is So Strong
Explore the recent and historical strength of the Swiss franc, as well as more recent actions by the Swiss National Bank that impact the strength of the Swiss currency.
Investopedia · 02/25 19:41
To lockdown or not? The Swiss hold a referendum
How far should governments go to limit social interactions during a pandemic? Are lockdowns effective in combating COVID-19? These questions are being debated by governments across the globe, but Switzerland's
Seekingalpha · 01/17 12:24
Everything Rallying But Dollar ETFs
The greenback has fallen to a three-year low as markets across the board rally.
ETF.com · 01/14 20:45
Swiss labeled currency manipulators by U.S. Treasury Department
The parting gifts continue from Steven Mnuchin and company as the Treasury Department this morning formally slapped the "currency manipulator" label on Switzerland (Vietnam, as well).There won't be any punitive
Seekingalpha · 12/16/2020 19:04
Switzerland's AAA credit rating affirmed by Fitch
Fitch Ratings affirms Switzerland's long-term foreign currency issuer default rating at AAA, the highest level of investment-grade rating.Outlook is stable.The ratings and outlook reflect "a diversified and high value-added economy
Seekingalpha · 12/11/2020 21:26
Swiss attempt to keep economy open as lockdowns hit Europe
Large parts of Europe are locking down again, while other countries are trying to resist the approach.The U.K. has announced a one-month national lockdown starting Thursday - that will ensure
Seekingalpha · 11/02/2020 08:46
FXF: Risk Reward Is On The Downside
The Swiss franc has constantly been appreciating against the US dollar amid rising global uncertainty. Even though the Swiss franc performs positively in periods of rising price volatility, we think that there is more room for CHF depreciation in the near to medium term. The CHF is currently 26% overvalued against the USD according to PPP. Time to short FXF as we expect the US dollar to appreciate.
Seekingalpha · 10/27/2020 07:04
FX Weekly: No Liquidity, No Fundamentals
The USD has not responded to the rise in VIX in recent days, which has intrigued a lot of traders who have been buying the greenback as a hedge.The US dollar has been negatively correlated to equities in the past 2 years (especially in 2020); hence, lower equities should coincide with a rising dollar.We do remain bearish on the British pound as we still think that it is the most vulnerable currency in the current environment.
Seekingalpha · 10/21/2020 14:51
The Swiss Franc Is Overvalued
The Swiss franc remained the best performing major currency of 2020.However, some fundamental indicators reveal that CHF may be overvalued.It appears that SNB's main objective is to curb excessive strength in Swiss franc.If USDCHF stays above 0.9040, it seems reasonable to expect a decent rebound towards 0.9350.
Seekingalpha · 10/20/2020 23:07
GBP/CHF May Find Weakness Into Year-End, Yet GBP FX Crosses Could Surprise In The Long Term
GBP/CHF continues to languish around all-time lows.However, while CHF (and safe haven) demand remains high, GBP could surprise in the long term.GBP appears undervalued on a longer-term basis. Sentiment, and a lack of confidence, appears to hold GBP back against safe haven currencies.As uncertainty unwinds, and as a new business cycle is able to assert itself, GBP stands a strong chance of rebounding (even outperforming).Plenty of uncertainty remains in the short to medium term, but 2021 (and beyond) could provide plenty of opportunity for the U.K. to surprise.
Seekingalpha · 10/17/2020 20:20
AUD/CHF To Find Strength In The Long Term, In Spite Of Near-Term Risks In 2020
AUD/CHF crashed in Q1 2020, but the pair was able to promptly retrace its steps higher.However, the pair is currently trailing lower, perhaps for good reason considering the near-term risks.Near-term risks include the second wave of COVID-19 as we head into winter, in addition to the U.S. presidential election and Brexit.Nevertheless, longer-term sentiment should remain constructive. This matters especially for AUD/CHF, since the inflation-adjusted yield is weak.What we could see from AUD/CHF is a "J-curve" effect. The pair might struggle (or begin to trade sideways) in the near term, but its longer-term prospects could be bright, as the pair remains undervalued.
Seekingalpha · 10/16/2020 06:54
FX Weekly: The Winter Depression
Growth expectations will certainly be reviewed to the downside in the coming months amid new restrictions imposed by governments.The lack of stimulus in addition to the rising uncertainty leaves stocks vulnerable in the short term.We are still long the US dollar and would avoid risk-on currencies such as the pound or the Aussie.
Seekingalpha · 10/08/2020 16:21
Swiss Franc Strength Threatens Switzerland's Economy, Making Heavier Intervention More Likely
The Swiss franc has continued to strengthen in 2020, with both GBP/CHF and EUR/CHF weaker as compared to the year's opening prices.The strength of the Swiss franc is a threat to the Swiss economy, as it makes Swiss exports less competitive.Lowering the SNB's short-term interest rate further could be destabilizing. The only real alternative appears to involve heavier intervention.One solution could involve the SNB expanding its acquisitions of listed international assets. Reducing the level of intervention on the other hand (i.e., conceding to the U.S. Treasury) would be very risky.Therefore, while the outlook for CHF is mixed, the probability is building for further and aggressive intervention measures, and therefore, the possibility of an ultimate reversal to long-term CHF downside.
Seekingalpha · 10/06/2020 08:44
CAD/CHF Is Likely To Rebound As The World Begins A New Economic Cycle, Yet Consolidation Is Likely In The Shorter Term
CAD/CHF is a "long-growth", "short-uncertainty" trade. CAD is correlated with the global energy sector, while CHF correlates with political instability.In a global economic recession, it is not surprising to see CAD falling and CHF strengthening.However, as CAD/CHF now rests at long-term lows, over the medium to long term, it is not unlikely that the current time will prove to be a turning point.CHF remains hotly demanded, likely owing mostly to short-EUR/CHF flows. However, as the world begins to rebound, the premium to own Swiss francs is likely to unwind, while the basis for owning Canadian dollars may improve.CAD/CHF may not be an especially appealing "long" trade at present, but the long-term trajectory from this current juncture is likely to favor upside.
Seekingalpha · 10/04/2020 09:40
How Has The U.S. Dollar Held Up As 'Global Reserve Currency' During Q2 Turmoil?
US-dollar-denominated exchange reserves - that would be US Treasury securities, US corporate bonds, US mortgage-backed securities, etc. held by foreign central banks - rose 1.9% in the second quarter to $6.9 trillion, according to the IMF's COFER data release.The yen has backed off a little from its surge that had started in 2015, and peaked at 5.9% in Q4 2019 and Q1 2020. In Q2, it ticked down to 5.7%.The US dollar's status as the dominant reserve currency and as the dominant international funding currency creates a lot of demand for dollar-denominated instruments, and permits the US to fund its gigantic trade deficits and its even more gigantic fiscal deficits.
Seekingalpha · 10/01/2020 17:42
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