EMERGING MARKETS-Asian currencies reverse gains after gloomy China inflation data

Reuters · 05/11/2023 08:22
EMERGING MARKETS-Asian currencies reverse gains after gloomy China inflation data

April inflation data in China highlights sputtering demand

Benchmark in Indonesia top loser, hits over a month low

Thai baht falls ahead of upcoming general election

By Mehr Bedi


- Asian currencies reversed gains, while equities in the region were mixed on Thursday, after readings showing weakness in China's post-COVID recovery took the spotlight from softer U.S. inflation data, and sparked concerns around global outlook.

The South Korean won KRW=KFTC and Indonesian rupiah IDR= started the day on a positive but depreciated 0.1% each against a strengthening greenback.

The firmer U.S. dollar followed the release of Chinese data showing consumer inflation almost flat-lined last month, after an unexpected decline in imports earlier in the week had already raised a red flag.

The Shanghai SE Composite Index .SSEC slipped 0.2%, while the Hong Kong benchmark index .HSI was off 0.4% while the yuan CNY=CFXS depreciated 0.1%.

"The April (China) inflation prints highlight that general pricing power remains soft despite ongoing post-COVID rebound in economic activity," JP Morgan analysts said in a .

"Looking ahead, sustained growth recovery, broad-based improvement in labour market conditions and households' income and employment expectations will be to support pricing power for general goods and services," the analysts added about the world's second-largest importer of goods.

U.S. Labor Department data overnight revealed consumer prices in April rose 4.9% from a year ago, compared with expectations of a 5% increase, potentially providing cover for the Federal Reserve to pause further interest rate hikes.

Money markets are currently pricing in a 96.2% chance that the Fed will keep rates on hold at its meeting in June, and expect rate cuts to begin in July through to the end of the year. FEDWATCH

Shares in the region were mixed tracking its Wall Street peers with equities in Jakarta .JKSE leading losses.

Stocks in Indonesia fell 1.2%, with broad-based losses in energy, consumer goods, and financials as China is Indonesia's biggest trade partner and a major source of foreign investment.

Investors in Thailand took a cautious stance ahead of the country's general election on Sunday, with the Thai baht TBH=TH weakening 0.3%.

Earlier this week, an announcement by Thai billionaire Thaksin Shinawatra — the country's first democratically elected prime minister to serve a full term — about plans to return to the country after 17 years caused a stir among voters with implications for the vote and the inevitable horse-trading afterwards to form a government, analysts say.


HIGHLIGHTS

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COUNTRY

FX RIC

FX DAILY %

FX YTD %

INDEX

STOCKS DAILY %

STOCKS YTD %

Japan

JPY=

-0.01

-2.42

.N225

0.02

11.62

China

CNY=CFXS

-0.13

-0.54

.SSEC

-0.30

7.12

India

INR=IN

-0.12

+0.78

.NSEI

-0.03

1.13

Indonesia

IDR=

-0.10

+5.63

.JKSE

-1.14

-1.70

Malaysia

MYR=

+0.00

-1.26

.KLSE

0.05

-4.62

Philippines

PHP=

-0.09

-0.14

.PSI

0.32

1.72

S.Korea

KRW=KFTC

-0.11

-4.66

.KS11

-0.22

11.38

Singapore

SGD=

-0.20

+0.93

.STI

-0.60

-0.87

Taiwan

TWD=TP

-0.03

-0.10

.TWII

-0.81

9.74

Thailand

THB=TH

-0.49

+2.43

.SETI

-0.10

-6.03


(Reporting by Mehr Bedi in Bengaluru; Editing by Kim Coghill and Uttaresh Venkateshwaran)

((Mehr.Bedi@thomsonreuters.com;))