Investors more bullish on Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management (SZSE:002889) this week as stock lifts 8.8%, despite earnings trending downwards over past three years

Simply Wall St · 10/18 22:23

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. Just take a look at Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002889), which is up 64%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 23% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 34%, including dividends.

Since it's been a strong week for Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over the last three years, Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 8.2% (annualized).

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

The modest 0.3% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. The revenue drop of 3.6% is as underwhelming as some politicians. The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002889 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 18th 2024

This free interactive report on Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management, it has a TSR of 66% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 34% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 8%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.