GEN-S POWER Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600753) 32% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St · 10/18 22:15

Despite an already strong run, GEN-S POWER Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600753) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider GEN-S POWER GroupLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for GEN-S POWER GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600753 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

What Does GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

GEN-S POWER GroupLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for GEN-S POWER GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For GEN-S POWER GroupLtd?

GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 54% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's P/S?

GEN-S POWER GroupLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that GEN-S POWER GroupLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You need to take note of risks, for example - GEN-S POWER GroupLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.