It's not a stretch to say that NGK Insulators, Ltd.'s (TSE:5333) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Japan, where the median P/E ratio is around 14x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, NGK Insulators' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
View our latest analysis for NGK Insulators
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on NGK Insulators.In order to justify its P/E ratio, NGK Insulators would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 18%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 23% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.6% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that NGK Insulators is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of NGK Insulators' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware NGK Insulators is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.