IWS

Economy Grows, Inflation Cools, Markets Hyperventilate

Home Market Outlook: Economy remains steady with higher than expected GDP growth and cooling inflation trend. Market experiencing rotations out of expensive trades like Big Tech and AI narrative, with US small caps showing staying power. Two weeks ago, a benevolent inflation report sent securities markets into a tizzy. But these are the times that call for discipline, patience in the management of portfolios.

U.S. Election: Policy And Positioning

The upcoming U.S. Election is expected to be one of the most contentious in history. Inflation is trending lower, supporting Federal Reserve rate cuts. Cyclical and secular economic factors tend to influence the market more significantly than politics. Investors should remain focused on long-term fundamentals and stay invested.

PCE Inflation Rises 2.5% In June, As Expected

Weekly Market Outlook: Central Banks And U.S. Earnings. Will The BoJ Hike Rates?

Global markets experienced a volatile week, influenced by a tech selloff, China growth concerns, and anticipation of central bank decisions. Despite the volatility, US equity funds saw inflows of $2.17 billion for the week. The FOMC and BoJ meetings and US NFP data will dominate the week ahead.

S&P 500 Earnings: Capex Is Not Earnings; Tech Revisions Still Positive

S&P 500 earnings are expected to be positive for the tech sector next week. Microsoft and Intel will be the big movers for the sector. Microsoft reports on Tuesday night, July 30th, while Amazon and Meta also report. The tech sector is expected to see positive earnings revisions for the quarter.

2.8% Growth Vs. 28% Recession Risk: The New Economic Landscape In 2024

Gross domestic product last quarter increased by 2.8%, a hair above average long-term growth. The Federal Reserve may have pulled off a soft landing in their fight against inflation. The Wall Street Journal survey puts the risk of recession over the next 12 months at just 28%. Real GDP grew at 2.7% in Q2 2024.

Equity Investing For A New Era: The Return Of Alpha

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Equity Investing For A New Era: The Return Of Alpha. The era of easy money is ended. The post-pandemic era is setting up to be more volatile with greater differentiation across individual stocks. A more discerning market that prices stocks on underlying fundamentals is an opportunity for skilled stock pickers to outperform.

Market Myths: Data-Driven Insights On The Bearish Engulfing Pattern (Technical Analysis)