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Investor's Business Daily · 1d ago
Top Consumer Staples Stocks for December 2020
Investopedia · 3d ago
Slowing Retail Sales Could Lead to a Channel
As we mentioned last week, the market is performing well. There are even signs that the rally is broad enough to avoid a short-term decline. However, because the underlying fundamentals are still weak — and taking into account recent news about slowing retail sales — we should set expectations for a flat channel after this week’s breakout. Source: jayk67 / Our stance may sound a little odd considering the stellar performance in the major indexes over the last few days as investors have rejoiced at the good news about Covid-19 vaccines. However, although we are excited about progress toward an end to the pandemic, retail sales numbers this week show that some of the support for the market is eroding in other areas.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Retail Sales We had a few big retail reports this week, including Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Home Depot (NYSE:HD) on Tuesday. Both companies exceeded expectations, but warned about future demand. The U.S. Census Bureau also reported month-over-month retail spending for October on Tuesday, which missed growth estimates by 40%. As you can see in the following chart, retail spending took a big hit when the Covid-19 pandemic hit the U.S. in the first and second quarters this year. On the surface, the chart seems to imply that consumers have made up the losses and spending growth has continued, but that is only half true. Source: Advance Real Retail and Food Service Sales — Chart Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) Since spending started to rise again in May, the U.S. economy is still down $51.3 billion in spending that would have otherwise happened. 8 Tech Stocks That Could Benefit from a Biden Presidency The pandemic created a deficit of a little over $75 billion, to put this in perspective. During the 2008-2009 recession, the deficit in consumer spending grew to nearly 10 times that size, so we aren’t worried about a collapse of the economy at this point, but the slowing rate of growth means significant gains in the market are less likely in the short term. We still plan to keep some exposure to the retail sector, but we will continue to focus on companies that are likely to do well if lockdowns and other restrictions become common. Those pandemic risks are some of the reasons we are still very bullish on our positions in Chegg (NYSE:CHGG), Logitech (NASDAQ:LOGI) and Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX). Stimulus The drama following the vote has distracted investors from the 900-pound gorilla in the room — another round of stimulus. Both Republicans and Democrats seem to favor a stimulus bill, but the amounts range from $500 billion to $2.2 trillion. With many unemployment benefits due to expire next month, this could be the issue that makes or breaks the market this year. At this point, we feel that some stimulus package passing by January is very likely. However, we are concerned that the amount of stimulus that passes both houses of Congress will miss the amount the market has “priced in.” We agree with Deutsche Bank analysts that the baseline assumption is probably in the $750 billion range, which makes the risk of a big disappointment a little less likely, but still an issue to consider. In our view, this uncertainty will keep basic-materials stocks, equipment makers and most financial stocks in a range-bound market. Although we regret that there might be some opportunity cost if we are called out on our Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) covered calls next week, the timing for reducing our exposure to the financial sector is about right. The fact that we’re getting out of the trade with some excellent profits from our many covered calls will help soothe any pain. As you can see in the following chart, although energy stocks have enjoyed a nice rebound this week, the sector, as represented by the SPDR Energy Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLE), is approaching the shoulders of the “head-and-shoulders” pattern that sent the fund to its lows in October. Source: Daily Chart of the SPDR Energy Sector ETF (XLE) — Chart Source: TradingView From a technical perspective, we think sectors like this are at resistance and will underperform unless the stimulus is much larger than expected. The Election As we mentioned previously, the post-election court fights and the Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) and press conference accusations of fraud have probably distracted many investors from other issues facing the market. That is entirely understandable, and we have been asked a lot of questions about potential risks this might create for the market. At this point, the court cases seem to be losing steam as more of them fail and vote recounts in Georgia and audits in Pennsylvania reached their completion. We stand by our comments we made on Oct. 28. Uncertainty around a presidential transition is rare, but it happened with Bush v. Gore in 2000. The market survived. In the 2000 presidential election, the market was already in decline, and the uncertainty didn’t help. But traders assumed the U.S. government’s institutional strength would keep things stable. We believe something similar is happening this time. We expect that any remaining uncertainty about the election will be resolved before the Dec. 8 “Safe Harbor” deadline ahead of the meeting of the electoral college. The Bottom Line As we mentioned last week, now that the major indexes have exceeded their prior highs, we think there will be some temporary profit-taking where prices may retrace a little or trend flat. If the S&P 500 declines in the short term, we recommend watching 3,400 as support. If that level holds, we would likely want to add more bullish exposure to the portfolio. American Thanksgiving is next week, and it is usually a slow one for the market, which is good because it gives us some breathing room to get ready for the employment report for November that will be released on Dec. 4. A slow week is usually good for option sellers like us because we can be pickier about our entry and exit prices. On the date of publication, John Jagerson & Wade Hansen did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.  John Jagerson & Wade Hansen are just two guys with a passion for helping investors gain confidence — and make bigger profits with options. In just 15 months, John & Wade achieved an amazing feat: 100 straight winners — making money on every single trade. If that sounds like a good strategy, go here to find out how they did it. John & Wade do not own the aforementioned securities.  More From InvestorPlace Why Everyone Is Investing in 5G All WRONG Top Stock Picker Reveals His Next 1,000% Winner Radical New Battery Could Dismantle Oil Markets The post Slowing Retail Sales Could Lead to a Channel appeared first on InvestorPlace.
InvestorPlace · 5d ago
Vaccine vs. lockdown as recent Real Estate volatility continues: At the Open
Stricter lockdown measures across the U.S. are pressuring a Real Estate sector that’s been riding vaccine developments higher for most of the month.The SPDR S&P Real Estate Sector ETF ([[XLRE]], -0.3%)
Seekingalpha · 11/19 14:00
Investing Strategies: Horizon Therapeutics CEO, Chegg CFO, O'Neil Investment Strategist Share Insights
Investor's Business Daily · 11/18 15:11
Investors nibble on education stocks again as pandemic trade returns
The education sector is outperforming again as COVID-19 developments turn the focus back to online schooling. Some school districts have already switched back to online learning due to COVID case
Seekingalpha · 11/12 15:38
'NYC is on the brink of shutting down its entire school system - could be in just a few days unless numbers improve.' -NYT Reporter
Benzinga · 11/12 13:50
The Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
There's been a notable change in appetite for Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) shares in the week since its quarterly report...
Simply Wall St. · 10/29 11:40
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Learn about the latest financial forecast of CHGG. Analyze the recent business situations of Chegg through EPS, BVPS, FPS, and other data. This information may help you make smarter investment decisions.
Analyst Rating

Based on 16 analysts


Disclaimer: The analysis information is for reference only and does not constitute an investment recommendation.

Analyst Price Target
The average CHGG stock price target is 93.07 with a high estimate of 105.00 and a low estimate of 55.00.
Institutional Holdings
Institutions: 588
Institutional Holdings: 147.23M
% Owned: 114.30%
Shares Outstanding: 128.81M
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Key Executives
Co-Chairman/President/Chief Executive Officer/Director
Daniel Rosensweig
Co-Chairman/Independent Director
Richard Sarnoff
Chief Financial Officer
Andrew Brown
Corporate Executive
Nathan Schultz
Chief Marketing Officer
Esther Lem
John Fillmore
Independent Director
Renee Budig
Independent Director
Paul LeBlanc
Independent Director
Marne Levine
Independent Director
Ted Schlein
Independent Director
Melanie Whelan
Independent Director
John York
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About CHGG
Chegg, Inc. is a student-first connected learning platform. The Company helps students study for college admission exams, find the colleges, get grades and test scores while in school, and find internships that allow them to gain skills to help them enter the workforce after college. The Company matches domestic and international students with colleges, universities and other academic institutions (collectively referred to as colleges) in the United States. It also offers eTextbooks library for rent and sale. The Company also has live tutors on its connected learning platform available to students online, anytime, anywhere through its Chegg Tutors service. It provides access to internships to help students gain skills that are critical to securing their first job. It offers two product lines: Required Materials and Chegg Services. The Required Materials product line includes the rental and sale of print textbooks and eTextbooks, as well as the commission it receives from Ingram.
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