GOVT

What Biden's Historic Election Decision Means For Markets

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis What Biden's Historic Election Decision Means For Markets. President Joe Biden’s late withdrawal from the presidential race creates a number of significant unknowns. I expect this late-in-the-race turmoil to ramp up short-term market volatility. I’m watching the results of earnings season for signs that market performance may be broadening from the domination of the “Magnificent 7”

Winter (Rate Cuts) Is Coming

The 2024 deficit estimate has increased by $400 billion, a 27% rise from their estimate five months ago. The U.S. Deficit for 2024 is expected to be $2.0 trillion, 7% of our Gross Domestic Product. The CBO forecasts no recession for the next decade. The IMF has warned of runaway spending in the United States.

Rates Spark: Why September Looks Like A Good Month For An ECB Rate Cut

Rates Spark: Markets Are Still Digesting Biden's Departure

US Biden's withdrawal did not have a material impact on EUR rates. The biggest impact for Treasuries was a late-in-the-day rise in yields. Weaker growth data later this week should help the EUR curve steepening. The ECB's Survey of Monetary Analysts shows a well-anchored ECB terminal rate of 2.25%.

The Best Tech And Energy Stocks Should Remain Strong

Weekly Report: what happened at GOVT last week (0715-0719)?

Last week recap: U.S. Treasury yields and dollar see swings

U.S. Treasury yields and dollar see swings last week as markets react to economic data and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The 10-year yield increased by about 5 basis points to 4.24% on Friday. The US dollar's movement during last week was driven by political events and economic data.

Has The Neutral Rate Of Interest Increased?