The Presidential Race And Financial Markets

Financial markets are mostly still ignoring the presidential race because of uncertainty, David Kotok says. Stock markets seem to have overcome fear of the Fed sufficiently to rally after a correction. Credit spreads remain very tight, he says. Kotok: The shape of the yield curve is essentially flat. The presidential race is murky and if the outcome is murky, financial markets are ignoring it.

Weekly Report: what happened at SCHM last week (0429-0503)?

Capital Markets Outlook: Q2 2024

Investors are wrestling with concerns over stubborn inflation, faster-than-expected economic growth, and a tight labor market. We expect normalization to continue in inflation and growth. In the first quarter of 2024, most major equity market indices rallied to all-time highs. Alistair Berg gives his Capital Markets Outlook for Q2 2024.

The Three 'Rs' Of Equities: Risk, Reward And The Role In A Portfolio

Investors wonder what current risk premiums portend for equity markets. Both interest rates and Treasury yields ratcheted upward with pernicious inflation. As long-term investments in real assets, equities deserve comparison to real risk premiums. We question whether real yields of 2% are sustainable for long- term investment.

Weekly Report: what happened at SCHM last week (0422-0426)?

The Mag. 7: Concentrate Or Diversify?

The Mag. 7: Concentrate Or Diversify? David Kotok: What does an investor do? The Mag 7 has had a terrific single year and a good cumulative three years. The cumulative return of the Mag 7 stock package compared against the S&P 500.

Weekly Report: what happened at SCHM last week (0415-0419)?

Turbulence Signaled By S&P 500 Dividend Futures Arrives

Weekly Report: what happened at SCHM last week (0408-0412)?

VO: Mid-Caps Look Better Than Large-Caps, And So Does This Fund

Vanguard Mid-Cap Index Fund ETF Shares is a good investment option for the next phase of the market cycle. The fund's diversified portfolio of mid-cap stocks offers more resilience than small-caps. The VO ETF is a passively managed fund with a low expense ratio of 0.04%. The fund offers a 12-month dividend yield of 1.50%.

TDAM CIO On Navigating The Markets After Strong Start To The First Quarter

S&P 500 Pulls Back As Fed Officials Get Lost On Road To Rate Cuts

The S&P 500 pulled back from last week's record-high close. The index ended the first trading week of April 2024 at 5,204.34. On Monday, 1 April 2024, signs that oil prices are likely to rise pushed up inflation expectations. Several Fed officials responded by trying to dial back expectations for when they will start cutting interest rates.

Weekly Report: what happened at SCHM last week (0401-0405)?

S&P 500 Earnings: New Quarter, Will The 'Upside Surprise' Factor Continue In 2024?

Home Earnings Analysis S&P 500 Earnings: New Quarter, Will The 'Upside Surprise' Factor Continue In 2024? Q4 ’23 EPS ended at $57.16, up from $54.69 at the end of the previous quarter. The forward 4-quarter estimate jumped this week to $251.58 from $242.94.

Should Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF (SCHM) Be on Your Investing Radar?

CDT Insider Sentiment Ratio March 2024: High Sentiment

Insider Sentiment Bounced Back in March. The composition of the market is exceptionally top-heavy with the top 10% of companies in the S&P 500. The excess earnings yield minus the 10-year Treasury rate is now negative for the first time since 2007. Since the October 2023 low, the market has made a year's worth of returns in 90 days.

Equities Shine Over Bonds

S&P 500's one-year trailing total return through the end of March was nearly triple the historical average of 11.8%. Long-term US Treasuries have been a loser of a decade for sure. Equity market returns have been well above average over the last five and ten years. The last two years have been below the long-term average.

S&P 500 Closes Its Best Quarter Since 2019 At Record High

Weekly Report: what happened at SCHM last week (0325-0329)?

S&P 500 Rockets To New High As Fed Confirms Rate Cuts Are Coming