Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0408-0412)?

2024 Strategic Positioning Update

Home Investing Strategy Fixed Income Analysis 2024 Strategic Positioning Update explains how Russell Investments is positioning its portfolios for the next five years. The firm maintains a cautious risk stance and is leaning toward equities over credit. Recession risk remains elevated, but the markets are priced for an optimistic scenario. The Fed is expected to lower rates in 2024.

Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0401-0405)?

Why Investors Need Inflation Protection Now

Manufacturers' Shipments February 2024: Weak, But Not Weak Enough

Dawn Of A New Regime: Implications For Fixed Income

Mounting pressures from macro megaforces point toward higher structural inflation and lower real GDP growth in the years ahead. We think higher inflation and slower economic growth will reverberate across the global fixed-income markets. Three powerful forces: deglobalization, demographics and climate change.

Weekly Market Pulse: Don't Just Do Something, Sit There

Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0325-0329)?

PCE February 2024 Preview: Markets Could Make A Big Move

Gold's Real Bear Market Is Not Over Yet

Gold prices, adjusted for inflation, are still below their previous highs and have underperformed cash. The resilience of nominal gold prices in the face of high real bond yields creates the potential for a sharp correction. Investors are much better off in inflation-linked bonds with more upside potential.

Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0318-0322)?

Powell Must Step Up And Become A Daddy

Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0311-0315)?

Fed Must Risk A Small Recession Now

Leading economic indicators suggest a potential recession in the US in the next 6-12 months. Coincident indicators are decelerating quickly. The Fed faces a difficult choice between cutting interest rates to prevent a recession or risking a resurgence of inflation. If the Fed cuts rates and inflation surges, it could lead to a disastrous economic and financial crisis.

February CPI: Risk Skewed To Upside; Long-Term Picture Is Bearish

Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0304-0308)?

TIP: Breakevens Back On The Rise As Fed Set To Give Up The Inflation Fight

IShares TIPS Bond ETF offers potential for 13% capital gains as inflation expectations rise. The Fed may be forced to restart Quantitative Easing to prevent Treasury yields from rising. Inflation expectations have risen in recent months and are set to intensify. The iShares TIps BondETF offers a real yield of 2% and the potential for a rise in inflation.

Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0226-0301)?

Weekly Report: what happened at LTPZ last week (0219-0223)?

Gold: Unwinding Rate Cut Bets Leave Gold Exposed As Speculative Interest Peaks

Gold clings to $2,000 despite unwinding interest rate expectations, but high rates will undermine gold's performance relative to cash and bonds. Inflation-linked bond yields suggest gold's fair value is as low as $1,000. The narrative is that central bank buying is allowing gold to shrug off higher rates.