Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0408-0412)?

Why We Won't See A Recession In 2024

The jobs market is unlikely to lead to a recession in 2024. Wage growth continues to trend lower, while a spike in unemployment that would trigger a recession appears unlikely from here. The labour market is cooling, but is expected to begin to tighten in the coming years. The decline in wage growth has been caused by a lack of labour supply.

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0401-0405)?

U.S. Economic Review And Outlook Q1 2024

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0325-0329)?

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0318-0322)?

iShares Morningstar U.S.Equity ETF declares quarterly distribution of $0.2100

IShares Morningstar U.S. Equity ETF (ILCB) declares quarterly distribution of $0.2100. 30-Day SEC Yield of 1.34% as of Feb. 29. Payable Mar 27; for shareholders of record Mar 22; ex-div Mar 21.

U.S. Recession Probability Nears A Double Top

The odds the U.S. Economy will see a recession start in the next 12 months are nearing a double top. The prospect for a recession has ticked up since bottoming in December 2023. The inversion of the Treasury curve has deepened since then. The Federal Reserve is expected to meet in March 2024 to discuss setting short-term interest rates.

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0311-0315)?

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0304-0308)?

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0226-0301)?

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0219-0223)?

The U.S. Leading Economic Index Takes One For The Team

The once-reliable US Leading Economic Index has been signaling a US recession for more than a year. The Conference Board, which compiles the indexes, backed off its recession forecast. The economy in the post-pandemic period has surprised on multiple fronts. Every downturn is different, the byproduct of a unique set of factors.

Estimating U.S. Recession Risk Using Economic Data For States

A Voice Of Reason Says Inflation Is Already At 2%

Lawrence Fuller: In inverted yield curve, historically a reliable indicator of recession, has not yet led to an economic contraction. Economist Campbell Harvey argues that the Fed should cut interest rates sooner rather than later. He says inflation is already at 2% and the Consumer Price Index data is stale. Harvey's model is linked to inflation-adjusted yields.

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0212-0216)?

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0205-0209)?

ISM And Recession

Cluster Of Woe

Weekly Report: what happened at ILCB last week (0129-0202)?