'No Rate Cut' Bear Scares S&P 500 Into Retreat

The S&P 500 fell again during the third week of April 2024. Main driving force behind the falling level of stock prices are slipping expectations for when and by how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates during 2024. The index has dropped 5.5% below its record peak closing value from 28 March 2024.

S&P 500 Earnings: So Far, The Pattern Is Typical, But Mega-Cap Earnings This Week Loom Large

So far, the typical earnings pattern for the S&P 500 is showing no signs of anything amiss. The mega-caps will simply trade at lower multiples than they have in the past few years. The hallmark of any bull or bear market is P/E expansion and contraction. The top 10-12 market cap names comprise roughly 24-25% of the s&p 500’s earnings weight. Mega-Cap Earnings this week are expected to be strong.

Weekly Report: what happened at IJK last week (0415-0419)?

Brad Simpson On Rising Iran-Israel Tensions And The Implications For Markets

Turbulence Signaled By S&P 500 Dividend Futures Arrives

Analysts See 11% Gains Ahead For The Holdings of IJK

Q1 '24 S&P 500 Earnings (And Johnson & Johnson): Expecting Another Normal Earnings Season

The "expected" Q1 '24 S&P 500 EPS growth has fallen to +2.7% as of Friday, April 12th. The “expected” quarterly growth rates follow a typical pattern. Only 29 companies have reported their Q1 ’24 earnings so far.

Weekly Report: what happened at IJK last week (0408-0412)?

Momentum Remains Top Equities Factor Performer In 2024

TDAM CIO On Navigating The Markets After Strong Start To The First Quarter

With 10-Year Treasuries At 4.4%, How High Is Too High?

Weekly Report: what happened at IJK last week (0401-0405)?

S&P 500 Pulls Back As Fed Officials Get Lost On Road To Rate Cuts

The S&P 500 pulled back from last week's record-high close. The index ended the first trading week of April 2024 at 5,204.34. On Monday, 1 April 2024, signs that oil prices are likely to rise pushed up inflation expectations. Several Fed officials responded by trying to dial back expectations for when they will start cutting interest rates.

S&P 500 Earnings: New Quarter, Will The 'Upside Surprise' Factor Continue In 2024?

Home Earnings Analysis S&P 500 Earnings: New Quarter, Will The 'Upside Surprise' Factor Continue In 2024? Q4 ’23 EPS ended at $57.16, up from $54.69 at the end of the previous quarter. The forward 4-quarter estimate jumped this week to $251.58 from $242.94.

CDT Insider Sentiment Ratio March 2024: High Sentiment

Insider Sentiment Bounced Back in March. The composition of the market is exceptionally top-heavy with the top 10% of companies in the S&P 500. The excess earnings yield minus the 10-year Treasury rate is now negative for the first time since 2007. Since the October 2023 low, the market has made a year's worth of returns in 90 days.

Should Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth ETF (VOT) Be on Your Investing Radar?

Equities Shine Over Bonds

S&P 500's one-year trailing total return through the end of March was nearly triple the historical average of 11.8%. Long-term US Treasuries have been a loser of a decade for sure. Equity market returns have been well above average over the last five and ten years. The last two years have been below the long-term average.

S&P 500 Closes Its Best Quarter Since 2019 At Record High

Weekly Report: what happened at IJK last week (0325-0329)?

S&P 500 Earnings: Market Cap Weight Vs. Earnings Weight Updated