News
TRI
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BUZZ-FX options wrap - Intervention alert, data threat, USD bid
FX option implied volatility is back at the long-term lows seen before the March 22 Chinese yuan slump. BoJ may intervene in support of the JPY. JPY related implied volatility remains elevated. The BoJ is facing a threat of shorting short USD/JPY gamma.
Reuters · 20h ago
BUZZ-FX options wrap - Value and protection, JPY conflict, EUR slide
FX option implied volatility returns to long-term lows. Price action in USD/JPY options highlights the conflict between wanting to cover upside risk and dealing with consequences of possible intervention. The impending UK/EU Easter bank holidays are adding weight to implied volatility. EUR/USD implied volatility is back at last weeks multi year lows.
Reuters · 1d ago
BUZZ-FX options wrap - Panic over, forecast, double-edge, month-end
Low implied volatility is a boon for carry traders, but a hindrance for those who rely on FX volatility to generate returns. Friday's panic demand for FX option implied volatility reversed and premiums have since reverted to long term lows. Long Easter holiday weekend in UK and Europe and gloomy forecast for month-end. But model signals reinforce expectations of mild USD sales.
Reuters · 2d ago
BUZZ-FX options wrap - CNH driver, JPY intervention, month-end
A significant USD/CNH spike reignited demand for G10 FX option implied volatility on Friday. But a lower PBOC fix had the reverse effect on Monday with broader implied volatility retracing gains. Short gamma positioning and threat of official intervention remains a key risk.
Reuters · 3d ago
Weekly Report: what happened at TRI last week (0318-0322)?
Weekly Report · 4d ago
BUZZ-FX options wrap - Could this be the return of FX volatility?
Friday's resurgent demand for implied volatility signalling a return of FX volatility. Risk aversion and USD demand started in the Chinese yuan and spread to G10 currencies. The potential for short covering is huge after months of falling FX realised and implied volatility, says Richard Pace. The recent BOJ rate hike and dovish tones may indicate a shift in policy.
Reuters · 6d ago
BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX epitome, SNB delay, JPY gamma crossfire
FX option premium attached to the risk of a hawkish Fed turn unwound. Implied volatility slumped back to multi year lows. USD/CHF option sales delayed by risk of SNB policy action. GBP related FX option implied volatility reached a post-Brexit low.USD/CNH implied volatility trades lowest levels since 2015.
Reuters · 03/21 14:24
BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY gamma warning, Fed and SNB risk to FX
JPY has fallen since the Bank of Japan's dovish hike on Tuesday. Short USD/JPY topside gamma fears fuelling demand for dated options. Near term focus is on the U.S. Fed policy announcement later on Wednesday. Implied volatility in other currency pairs remains recent and 2-year lows.
Reuters · 03/20 14:34
BUZZ-FX options wrap - what will it take to reignite FX volatility?
FX implied volatility is struggling to stay above recent and multi year lows. Bank of Japan's decision to tighten policy failed to fuel renewed demand for JPY put options. Wednesday's U.S. Fed policy announcement helps support the USD but overall demand remains limited. FX volatility and its option related measures are likely to remain at long term lows.
Reuters · 03/19 14:29
Weekly Report: what happened at TRI last week (0311-0315)?
Weekly Report · 03/18 09:09
BUZZ-FX options wrap - Extreme low implied volatility speaks volumes
FX option implied volatility is trading at long term lows. 1-month expiry EUR/USD implied volatility trades at its lowest levels since November 2021. Very low overnight expiry implied volatility premiums proved justified in predictions of limited FX reaction to U.S. PPI and retail sales data.
Reuters · 03/14 14:23
BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX volatility crisis, BoJ action risk shift
Tuesday's U.S. CPI data was close enough to expectations to limit subsequent FX volatility. All currencies and expiry dates came under pressure. Sub 3-month expiry G10 FX option implied volatility posted biggest losses to ever 2-year lows. The risk of BoJ policy action keeps JPY related implied volatility at a healthy premium.
Reuters · 03/13 15:06
Weekly Report: what happened at TRI last week (0304-0308)?
Weekly Report · 03/11 09:09
BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY pairs lead volatility and USD put demand
FX option implied volatility rose from 2-year lows this week. Biggest gains posted in JPY related pairings amid increased expectations of BoJ policy action on March 19. JPY pairs lead volatility and USD put demand and a mild preference to own put strikes over call strikes. Mild profit-taking in shorter dated implied volatility should be limited.
Reuters · 03/08 14:47
UPDATE 1-RBC boosts CEO's compensation, pays P&C head C$1.25 million for closing HSBC Canada deal
Royal Bank of Canada sets total compensation target of C$17 million for CEO Dave McKay for 2024. RBC also pays head of P&C head C$1.25 million for closing HSBC Canada deal. Bank of Nova Scotia's CEO Scott Thomson's 2024 compensation target is C$9.5 million.
Reuters · 03/07 20:36
BUZZ-FX options wrap - Value, NFP bets, JPY surge, central bank risk
Sub 3-month expiry FX option implied volatility has been lifted from very long-term lows. Friday's U.S. NFP data has increased the cost of overnight expiry options. The yen and related options have seen the biggest gains amid growing expectations that the Bank of Japan will policy.
Reuters · 03/07 14:53
BUZZ-FX options wrap - Enticing, BoJ threat, ECB risk, lira puts
FX option implied volatility has found a modicum of support at long term lows. Overnight EUR/USD implied volatility up from 7.0 to 10.0. BoJ threat, ECB risk, Turkish lira puts and U.S. Data risks are enticing value hunters.
Reuters · 03/06 14:13
LSEG investors sell $1.78 billion shares in London bourse owner
LSEG investors sell $1.78 billion shares in London bourse owner. The consortium includes private-equity firm Blackstone BX.N, Thomson Reuters TRI.TO and other investors. The sale includes 21.5 million shares in LSEG.
Reuters · 03/06 07:15
BUZZ-FX options wrap - CPI premium, ECB risk, BoJ action eyed
FX option implied volatility remains a casualty of minimal FX realised volatility. Benchmark 1-month USD/CNH eyeing lowest levels since 2015. U.S. CPI data on Tuesday has given the contract a boost to 3-week highs. EUR vulnerable to any downgrade to inflation and growth forecasts from ECB on Thursday. BoJ action, including the March 19 policy announcement, is also a risk.
Reuters · 03/05 14:49
BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk dilemma, March BoJ, EUR/USD put, CNH low
FX option implied volatility continues to probe ever 2-year lows amid a lack of actual and expected FX realised volatility. There has been a pick up in demand for JPY call/USD put options expiring after BoJ policy announcement. The low levels of implied volatility don't offer an attractive reward for short positions.
Reuters · 03/04 14:51
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