Multi-Asset Mid-Year Outlook Global Growth Picture Supports Risk Assets

PBOC Surprises Markets With An Off-Schedule 20bp Cut To The MLF

PBOC Surprises Markets With An Off-Schedule 20bp Cut To The MLF. Collateral reductions for MLF signal the PBOC's intention to cool the bond market. The PBOC cut the 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) rate from 2.5% to 2.3%.

China Cuts 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate And Loan Prime Rates In Move To Support Growth

China's Third Plenum Provides Little Support To Metals

The Best Tech And Energy Stocks Should Remain Strong

Weekly Report: what happened at FCA last week (0715-0719)?

Rising Costs And Gloomier Prospects Cast Shadow Over Emerging Market Outlook

Emerging market economic growth was sustained at a solid pace in June, despite easing from the one-year high seen in May. The expansion was led by manufacturing as service sector growth slowed. Manufacturing production rose at the fastest pace since November 2020. Input price inflation climbed to a ten-month-high, driven by rising costs.

What To Expect From China's Monetary Policy Framework Reforms

The PBOC has signalled that changes to China's monetary policy framework may be on the horizon. Governor Pan Gongsheng has suggested the medium-term lending facility may be phased out as the main policy rate. The 7-day reverse repo rate is expected to be the main rate in the future.

Could The Fed Cut Interest Rates Twice In 2024?

US disinflation may lead to a third-quarter Fed rate cut. Recent data on US inflation shows that the disin inflationary process is picking up steam. I believe the Federal Reserve will cut before the end of the third quarter. I see room for more than one rate cut in 2024. S&P 500 companies are forecasted to deliver their highest year-over-year earnings growth.

China's Economy Is In Deep Trouble

China's Q2 GDP Slowed By More Than Expected In New Challenge To Achieving Growth Target

Weekly Report: what happened at FCA last week (0708-0712)?

Emerging Markets Show Resilience Despite Global Monetary Tightening

IMF: Emerging Markets Show Resilience Despite Global Monetary Tightening. Capital flows into emerging markets have recovered from a post-pandemic low. The US accounted for 41 percent of global gross inflows in 2017-19. The IMF says emerging markets must double down on improvements in macroeconomic frameworks.

Q3 2024 Equity Market Outlook

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Q3 2024 Equity Market Outlook: Neuberger Berman 2.93K Followers. We expect further corporate earnings growth across sectors, fueled by rising household net worth and a global industrial rebound. We recommend overweighting technology, communications and consumer discretionary stocks.

Softer-Than-Expected June Inflation Continues To Bolster The Case For Easing In China

Weekly Report: what happened at FCA last week (0701-0705)?

Global PMI Signals Cooler Services Inflation In June, But Goods Prices Show Further Rise

Global Macro Outlook: Third Quarter 2024

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Global Macro Outlook: Third Quarter 2024. The global economy moved along as expected, with some slowing but not enough to trigger a recession. The slowing is contributing to disinflation and bringing economies back into balance. Rate cuts have begun in key markets.

A Stronger U.S. Dollar - Will EMS Feel The Pinch?

A Stronger U.S. Dollar - Will EMS Feel The Pinch? in 2024. The US dollar has strengthened notably in 2024 with the shift in market expectations to higher rates for longer in the US. A strong US dollar could have consequences for emerging markets (EMs) specifically. However, we believe EMs as an asset class will be more resilient to the consequences of a stronger dollar.

Emerging Market Stocks: Great Businesses Hide In A Murky Market Landscape