The Three 'Rs' Of Equities: Risk, Reward And The Role In A Portfolio

Investors wonder what current risk premiums portend for equity markets. Both interest rates and Treasury yields ratcheted upward with pernicious inflation. As long-term investments in real assets, equities deserve comparison to real risk premiums. We question whether real yields of 2% are sustainable for long- term investment.

Dip Or Correction?

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Dip Or Correction? Ryan Puplava looks at the reasons for the market weakness in April. Inflation and Higher Rates kick off the month of April. The 50-day moving average will be key to monitor to see if this is a short-term dip or correction.

VFMO: Inexpensive ETF Outperforming The S&P 500 And Peer Funds

Weekly Market Pulse: Be Careful What You Wish For

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Weekly Market Pulse: Be Careful What You Wish For. Japanese PM Shinzo Abe launched his three arrows plan to revive the Japanese economy in 2012. The aim of the devaluation was to escape deflation. The Yen started to weaken in 2021 as the BOJ ramped up Yen printing.

The Case Of The Disappearing Rate Cuts

Weekly Report: what happened at VFMO last week (0422-0426)?

S&P 500 Earnings: The Upward Revisions Are A Big Positive

The S&P 500 earnings yield ended the week above 5% for the first time since January 19th. The "upside surprise" for this quarter's earnings was 9.5%. The upside revenue surprise was 1.3% through this week. This is the 5th week in a row of sequentially higher estimates for the S&p 500.

The Mag. 7: Concentrate Or Diversify?

The Mag. 7: Concentrate Or Diversify? David Kotok: What does an investor do? The Mag 7 has had a terrific single year and a good cumulative three years. The cumulative return of the Mag 7 stock package compared against the S&P 500.

Expect Equity Market Corrections

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Expect Equity Market Corrections Apr. 23, 2024. Market corrections are a normal function of the equity market. The S&P 500 Index is now outperforming the Nasdaq 100 Index. Company outlooks will be an important indication of the year ahead.

'No Rate Cut' Bear Scares S&P 500 Into Retreat

The S&P 500 fell again during the third week of April 2024. Main driving force behind the falling level of stock prices are slipping expectations for when and by how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates during 2024. The index has dropped 5.5% below its record peak closing value from 28 March 2024.

S&P 500 Earnings: So Far, The Pattern Is Typical, But Mega-Cap Earnings This Week Loom Large

So far, the typical earnings pattern for the S&P 500 is showing no signs of anything amiss. The mega-caps will simply trade at lower multiples than they have in the past few years. The hallmark of any bull or bear market is P/E expansion and contraction. The top 10-12 market cap names comprise roughly 24-25% of the s&p 500’s earnings weight. Mega-Cap Earnings this week are expected to be strong.

Weekly Report: what happened at VFMO last week (0415-0419)?

Brad Simpson On Rising Iran-Israel Tensions And The Implications For Markets

Turbulence Signaled By S&P 500 Dividend Futures Arrives

Where's The Downside Tipping Point For U.S. Stocks?

S&P 500 Sees More Fallout From Delayed Rate Cut Expectations

The repercussions of delayed rate cuts continued to shake out in the U.S. Stock market in the past week. The S&P 500 dropped a little over 1.5% from where it ended the previous week to close at 5,123.41 on Friday, 12 April 2024. Bad news came in the form of diminished earning expectations for big banks. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool now projects the Fed will hold the Federal Funds Rate steady until 31 July 2024.

Q1 '24 S&P 500 Earnings (And Johnson & Johnson): Expecting Another Normal Earnings Season

The "expected" Q1 '24 S&P 500 EPS growth has fallen to +2.7% as of Friday, April 12th. The “expected” quarterly growth rates follow a typical pattern. Only 29 companies have reported their Q1 ’24 earnings so far.

Weekly Report: what happened at VFMO last week (0408-0412)?

Brad Simpson On 'Vibecession' And What It's Telling Us About Market Sentiment

Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets

Margin debt levels have surged as bullish investors leverage their bets in the equity market. The increase in leverage represents increased risk-taking by investors in the stock market. Margin debt is not a technical indicator for trading markets. As consumer confidence improves, so does the speculative demand for equities.