Weekly Report: what happened at GOVZ last week (0415-0419)?

Rate Volatility's Market Implications

Higher-For-Longer Risk For Rates Drives Up Treasury Yields

Pre-FOMC: A Different Type Of Taper

Inflation Progress May Be Bumpy, But Is Likely To Continue

Weekly Report: what happened at GOVZ last week (0408-0412)?

The Federal Reserve Needs To Raise Interest Rates 0.25%

The Federal Reserve needs to raise their Fed funds target rate by 0.25% at their May 1 meeting. The Fed's 2% inflation target is considered optimal for economic growth and stability. Current interest rates are not historically high, and there is no need for a rate cut. Inflation figures are trending up and employment numbers are strong.

Anatomy Of A Recession Update: What's Different About This Cycle?

Jeffrey Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard. He says immigration has increased the growth potential of the US economy more than usual. He also shares his views on US equities and the impact of the Magnificent Seven.

Algorithmic (High Frequency) Trading Rears Its Ugly Head Again

High frequency trading accounts for as much as 70% of the volume in stocks traded on the U.S. Exchange. Bill Kort says computers are scanning for good economic news and bad news for stocks. He says the downside of high frequency trading is that it creates fear and distrust in the market.

GOVZ: Zero Rate Cuts And More Pain For Treasury Bonds

IShares Spring 2024 Investment Directions

Home Investing Strategy Portfolio Strategy IShares Spring 2024 Investment Directions. The U.S. Economy has evolved largely as we anticipated in our 2024 Year Ahead Outlook. BlackRock believes the Fed will deliver three rate cuts in 2024. Inflation is still stubbornly above the Fed’s target while economic growth is slowing.

Weekly Report: what happened at GOVZ last week (0401-0405)?

Here's Why 5% Is Again A Risk For The U.S. 10yr

ING: We think the Fed peaked in July 2023. The 10yr yield has not been trading in a manner consistent with prior peaks. 5% is a risk for the US 10yr. In the current cycle, the Fed hit its cycle high of 5% in October 2023, three months after the funds rate peak.

Now Is Not The Time To Buy Bonds

Now is not the time to be piling into long-duration bonds. Growth and inflation are not supportive of bonds. The fundamental outlook for bonds remains questionable at best. The leading indicators of growth and inflation for 2024 suggest both dynamics could put upside pressure on yields. The economic growth impulse appears a headwind for bonds.

New Questions Emerge On Prospects For A June Rate Cut

Forecasts that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in June took another hit after March manufacturing survey data for March. Markets are still pricing in moderate odds that easing will start at the end of the second quarter. But recent economic data continues to suggest that a growth bias prevails for the US.

Q1 2024 Total Return Gov/Credit Review

After a sharp decline in yield during Q4 2023, Treasury yields rose during Q1 2024. We experienced significant increases in 10- and 30-year Treasuries. Spreads on investment-grade corporates and taxable munis continued to grind lower as Treasury rates rose. We will continue to take a conservative approach to credit.

Staying Nimble While Seeking Income

Dawn Of A New Regime: Implications For Fixed Income

Mounting pressures from macro megaforces point toward higher structural inflation and lower real GDP growth in the years ahead. We think higher inflation and slower economic growth will reverberate across the global fixed-income markets. Three powerful forces: deglobalization, demographics and climate change.

Stocks Are Partying Like It Is 1995

Weekly Market Pulse: Don't Just Do Something, Sit There