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CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar pads recent gains on Fed's dovish message

· 03/17/2021 15:51
CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar pads recent gains on Fed's dovish message

Adds strategist quotes and details throughout; updates prices

Canadian dollar rises 0.3% against the greenback

Canada's annual inflation rate rises to 1.1%

Price of U.S. oil settles 0.3% lower

Canada's 10-year yield touches a 14-month high at 1.633%

By Fergal Smith

- The Canadian dollar rose to a three-year high against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday, after a dovish forecast by the Federal Reserve for the path of interest rate hikes pressured the greenback and domestic data showed inflation edging higher.

The U.S. dollar .DXY fell against a basket of major currencies and Wall Street rallied, after the Fed repeated its pledge to keep its target interest rate near zero for years to come even as it projected a rapid jump in U.S. economic growth and inflation this year. nL1N2LE1D0

"This very dovish messaging has forced some hawkish rate bets to reverse," said Erik Bregar, head of FX strategy at the Exchange Bank of Canada.

It has bolstered "risk-sensitive currencies like the Canadian dollar," Bregar said.

The Canadian dollar CAD= was trading 0.3% higher at 1.2410 to the greenback, or 80.58 U.S. cents, its strongest level since February 2018.

Canada's annual inflation rate rose to 1.1% in February from 1.0% in January on rising gasoline prices, although the slight acceleration was below analyst expectations. nL1N2LF14V

"The CPI report is consistent with steady, accommodative policy from the BoC for an extended period," said Ryan Brecht, a senior economist at Action Economics.

Still, strategists expect Canada's central bank to cut its bond purchases next month. nL1N2LA30S

The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, slipped for a fourth day, weighed down by expectations of weaker demand in Europe and by rising U.S. crude inventories. U.S. crude CLc1 prices settled 0.3% lower at $64.60 a barrel. nL1N2LF08O

Canadian government bond yields were mixed across a steeper curve in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year yield CA10YT=RR touched its highest level since January 2020 at 1.633% before dipping to 1.576%, up less than 1 basis point on the day.


(Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Jonathan Oatis and Peter Cooney)

((fergal.smith@thomsonreuters.com; +1 647 480 7446;))