U.S. stock futures were swinging between gains and losses on Tuesday, as the Dow Jones index rose, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 indices fell, following Monday’s mixed close.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi accused French President Emmanuel Macron of trying to deflect responsibility for France’s unrest after previously expressing support for U.S. military action against Iran.
Reuters reported French authorities imposed curfews in parts of Paris, Lille and Nice on Monday after a weekend of riots and looting linked to nationwide anti-government protests.
Separately, Iran’s IRGC spokesperson Hossein Mohebi threatened to target undersea communication cables in the Strait of Hormuz, saying that “all of the world’s internet and commercial data depend on them," reported Al Jazeera.
Tuesday features highly anticipated third-quarter earnings reports from Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), General Motors Co. (NYSE:GM), GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), 3M Co. (NYSE:MMM), and RTX Corporation (NYSE:RTX).
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 5.11%, and the 2-year Treasury bond yielded 4.76%, at the last check. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool projections show markets pricing in an 82.8% likelihood of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged after its October meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 0.19% |
| S&P 500 | -0.05% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.43% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.03% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were lower in premarket trading on Tuesday. The SPY was down 0.02% at $766.34, while the QQQ declined 0.39% to $715.54.
Consumer discretionary, information technology and materials led S&P 500 sectors on Monday, while utilities, real estate and financials lagged.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | -0.07% | 51,966.03 |
| S&P 500 | 0.41% | 7,690.73 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 1.11% | 26,430.89 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.25% | 2,728.30 |
Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi warned the U.S. is moving toward a “fiscal reckoning” after the Treasury Department reported a $1.992 trillion budget deficit for fiscal year 2026, driven by $7.396 trillion in outlays versus $5.403 trillion in receipts. He highlighted that the government spent $1.052 trillion on net interest, exceeding the $965 billion spent on national defense, and called the primary budget deficit, excluding interest, nearly 3% of GDP “eye-popping.”
Zandi also said global investors “appear to be demanding a higher rate to compensate for the mounting risk” and cautioned that a “vicious cycle threatens to take hold” as higher rates add to the debt load and interest payments, which subsequently pushes rates higher.
Ed Yardeni and Elias Griepentrog framed market moves as a tug-of-war between FOMO, the P/E component, and FEMO, the earnings component, writing that investors have been on a rollercoaster ride as FOMO fluctuated mostly to the downside while FEMO kept climbing.
They said concerns about AI investment returns and rising US Treasury yields have tightened credit conditions and weighed on P/Es, and that since early October, multiple compression has outpaced continued earnings gains.
They noted semiconductors were at the center of the rout, with the semiconductor stock price index plunging 15.7% over eight consecutive sessions, before a rebound in which “FOMO staged a comeback today” as the Nasdaq rose 1.1% and semiconductors gained 1.6%.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Tuesday.
Crude Oil WTI futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 2.27% to hover around $100.78 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.66% to hover around $4,113.19 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.20% lower at the 101.7684 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.6% lower over the last 24 hours at $81,497 per coin.
Asian markets were lower on Tuesday, as Australia’s ASX 200, South Korea’s Kospi, China’s CSI 300, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 indices fell. European markets were lower in early trading.
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