According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 82.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 17.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 6.4%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 77.8%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 15.8%.

Zhitongcaijing · 2d ago
According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 82.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 17.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 6.4%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 77.8%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 15.8%.