According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 83.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 16.1%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 8.2%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 77.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 14.5%.

Zhitongcaijing · 1d ago
According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 83.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 16.1%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 8.2%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 77.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 14.5%.