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Tilly's, CarMax, Monro, OneWater, and Macy's Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know

Barchart · 1d ago

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What Happened?

A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after major indices pulled back and retail equities faced pressure as the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a hotter-than-expected September inflation print, pushing Treasury yields higher. 

As detailed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the consumer price index rose 3.7% year-over-year in September, topping the 3.6% estimate from economists polled by Dow Jones. According to CNBC, core inflation—which excludes volatile food and energy costs—climbed 2.6% annually against expectations of 2.5%, largely bolstered by a 9.1% surge in gasoline costs and higher expenses for air travel. Following the print, CNBC market data showed the 10-year Treasury yield climbed over six basis points to 5.278%, while the 30-year yield advanced past 5.59%. According to market commentators, rising yields intensify pressure on equity valuations and consumer spending power just as third-quarter corporate earnings get underway. 

In remarks carried by CNBC, Franklin Templeton Institute head investment strategist Jeff Schulze noted that pressure across the long end of the curve acts as a valuation headwind for risk assets. Financial analysts explain that higher benchmark yields mechanically elevate the discount rate applied to corporate earnings, compressing the multiples investors are willing to pay for consumer discretionary and retail equities.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.

Among others, the following stocks were impacted:

Zooming In On OneWater (ONEW)

OneWater’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 37 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 22 days ago when the stock gained 3.3% on the news that seasonal-shopping data pointed to continued consumer demand heading into the holiday period. The National Retail Federation’s annual survey, conducted by Prosper Insights & Analytics, projects U.S. Halloween spending of $13.5 billion this year, following last year’s record level. Circana’s retail tracking data also showed late-season back-to-school sales rose 4.2% year over year in the week ended September 5. Together, the data suggests that shoppers are still allocating spending toward seasonal and discretionary categories, even as they remain value conscious. That is constructive for retailers exposed to apparel, footwear, home goods, automotive parts, sporting goods, and off-price merchandise, as investors look ahead to the more important fourth-quarter selling season.

OneWater is down 16.8% since the beginning of the year, and at $8.97 per share, it is trading 47.1% below its 52-week high of $16.96 from October 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of OneWater’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at only $212.67.

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