UBP downgrades European equities as rising yields, energy costs pressure outlook

• UBP flagged a regime shift as US 10-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since 2007, raising valuation pressure risks.
• Estimated fair-value range for the US 10-year yield lifted to 4.75%-5.25%, citing renewed inflation pressure tied to energy costs.
• Neutral duration kept at four years, favoring carry as visibility stays limited despite elevated yields.
• European equities downgraded on higher energy costs, rising rates, wider France and Italy spreads, weaker tech support.
• Tech-led AI investment still underpins global earnings, though UBP warned yields of 5.5%-6.0% could challenge valuations.

Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Union Bancaire Privee UBP SA published the original content used to generate this news brief on October 08, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.