Kalshi predicts that the market is currently priced: the probability that the Federal Reserve will stay on hold in October is 85%. Non-farm payrolls increased by only 29,000, compared to market expectations of 84,000. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%, triggering a sharp dovish repricing of the Federal Reserve's policy prospects.

Zhitongcaijing · 3d ago
Kalshi predicts that the market is currently priced: the probability that the Federal Reserve will stay on hold in October is 85%. Non-farm payrolls increased by only 29,000, compared to market expectations of 84,000. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%, triggering a sharp dovish repricing of the Federal Reserve's policy prospects.