To own Meitu, you need to believe the company can turn its AI tools into repeatable, paid workflows that matter to creators, not just viral features. The near term focus is whether AI driven products can support the existing internet business, which generated CN¥4,258.689m of revenue, while user appetite for heavily edited content keeps shifting.
The key short term catalyst is execution on higher value AI services that justify subscriptions and keep revenue and earnings aligned with the current forecast path. The biggest risk is that competitors move faster on generative video, or user tastes move away from traditional beauty and editing apps, leaving heavier R&D spend without matching payback.
MVLAND Studio Mode fits directly into that thesis. It reflects Meitu’s push beyond filters into full video workflows that independent musicians and creators can actually ship. For you as an investor, the link to the existing Photo, Video and Design segment is important because that segment already shows strong revenue momentum and improving monetization through AI features.
If Studio Mode attracts more engaged, higher value creators into Meitu’s ecosystem, it would support the view that revenue can grow faster than the Hong Kong market and that earnings growth near the current 26.9% forecast remains plausible. The flip side is execution risk. If adoption is slow or monetization lags, the extra complexity, model costs and content moderation burden could weigh on margins rather than supporting the current growth narrative.
Meitu's narrative projects CN¥7.9b revenue and CN¥2.1b earnings by 2029. This implies 22.8% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of roughly CN¥1.2b from CN¥892.2m today.
Uncover why Meitu's fair value indicates a 118% potential upside to its current price before the discount starts to close.
Some of the lowest Meitu analysts focus on hit risk rather than new products like MVLAND Studio Mode. They worry that if future AI features lose momentum, revenue near CN¥7.7b and earnings around CN¥2.2b by 2029 could be hard to reach. That is a far more cautious story, so treat MVLAND as a potential swing factor and compare both narratives yourself.
Explore 2 other Meitu fair value estimates, including one that suggests it could be worth just HK$5.72!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so trust your own analysis and judgment.
Once you have a view on Meitu, it can help to widen the lens and compare it with other opportunities that share some of the qualities you care about most, whether that is value, resilience, or balance sheet strength.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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