According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% in October is 49.6%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 50.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% until December is 8.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 49.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 41.8%.

Zhitongcaijing · 1d ago
According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% in October is 49.6%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 50.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% until December is 8.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 49.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 41.8%.