According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% in October is 29.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 70.9%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% until December is 5.0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 36.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 58.7%.

Zhitongcaijing · 1d ago
According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% in October is 29.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 70.9%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% until December is 5.0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 36.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 58.7%.