A new round of price adjustment window for domestic refined oil products will open at 24:00 on September 24. The agency expects the retail price of refined oil products to rise in this round. Jin Lianchuang analyst Zhao Yinghan analyzed that since the crude oil increase in the early part of the current price adjustment cycle has been locked in, the retail price of domestic refined oil products will rise, but with the recent continuous decline in international crude oil prices, the final increase has narrowed significantly compared to previous expectations. According to Jin Lianchuang's estimates, as of the ninth working day on September 23, the average price of reference crude oil varieties was 102.20 US dollars/barrel, with a change rate of 8.62%. The retail price of domestic gasoline and diesel should increase by 490 yuan/ton. The price adjustment window for this round is 24:00 on September 24. The retail price of refined oil products is expected to rise, but the increase is expected to narrow, from 0.8 yuan/liter to 0.6 yuan/liter. Since this year, domestic oil prices have gone through 18 rounds of price adjustments. The overall pattern is “12 increases, 5 falls, and 1 stranded.” Among them, in order to mitigate the impact of rising international oil prices, the country has taken regulatory measures on refined oil prices three times. If the current round of price adjustments rises as expected, the 2026 price adjustment market will become “13 increases, 5 falls, and 1 stranded.”

A new round of price adjustment window for domestic refined oil products will open at 24:00 on September 24. The agency expects the retail price of refined oil products to rise in this round. Jin Lianchuang analyst Zhao Yinghan analyzed that since the crude oil increase in the early part of the current price adjustment cycle has been locked in, the retail price of domestic refined oil products will rise, but with the recent continuous decline in international crude oil prices, the final increase has narrowed significantly compared to previous expectations. According to Jin Lianchuang's estimates, as of the ninth working day on September 23, the average price of reference crude oil varieties was 102.20 US dollars/barrel, with a change rate of 8.62%. The retail price of domestic gasoline and diesel should increase by 490 yuan/ton. The price adjustment window for this round is 24:00 on September 24. The retail price of refined oil products is expected to rise, but the increase is expected to narrow, from 0.8 yuan/liter to 0.6 yuan/liter. Since this year, domestic oil prices have gone through 18 rounds of price adjustments. The overall pattern is “12 increases, 5 falls, and 1 stranded.” Among them, in order to mitigate the impact of rising international oil prices, the country has taken regulatory measures on refined oil prices three times. If the current round of price adjustments rises as expected, the 2026 price adjustment market will become “13 increases, 5 falls, and 1 stranded.”