On September 21, at the 20th anniversary forum of the Changjiang Business School CEO Project, Kevin Kelly, the founding editor-in-chief of the American “Connect” magazine and author of “Out of Control”, gave about 15 predictions about AI. He believes that general-purpose artificial intelligence will not appear in the true sense of the word for at least the next ten years. In his opinion, today's AI is evolving rapidly, but this evolution is uneven. “There won't be just one general AI in the future, but many different types of AI will appear.” He is more inclined to use the plural form “AIs” to describe the future world of artificial intelligence. Other predictions include that in the next five years, spatial intelligence will become one of the most important breakthroughs in AI; in the future, 99% of AI will probably be “invisible”; they will not directly communicate with people, but will collaborate with each other in the background. He is particularly optimistic about combining personal agents with smart glasses; he also believes that truly mature and generally usable humanoid robots will still take about ten years; AI will not simply “eliminate jobs”, but rather reorganize work; in the next two years, AI doctors will become a very common entry point. Kevin Kelly also talked about China's AI industry. He believes that China's open source model is developing rapidly, and the gap with the US in terms of cutting-edge model capabilities is not that big anymore. Over the next five years, the capabilities of the most advanced models in China and the US may gradually converge, but the Chinese model may have an advantage in terms of cost. Based on this, he also proposed that in about four years, the world's best AI chips may be manufactured in China; by 2030, China may make the world's best autonomous vehicles.

Zhitongcaijing · 1d ago
On September 21, at the 20th anniversary forum of the Changjiang Business School CEO Project, Kevin Kelly, the founding editor-in-chief of the American “Connect” magazine and author of “Out of Control”, gave about 15 predictions about AI. He believes that general-purpose artificial intelligence will not appear in the true sense of the word for at least the next ten years. In his opinion, today's AI is evolving rapidly, but this evolution is uneven. “There won't be just one general AI in the future, but many different types of AI will appear.” He is more inclined to use the plural form “AIs” to describe the future world of artificial intelligence. Other predictions include that in the next five years, spatial intelligence will become one of the most important breakthroughs in AI; in the future, 99% of AI will probably be “invisible”; they will not directly communicate with people, but will collaborate with each other in the background. He is particularly optimistic about combining personal agents with smart glasses; he also believes that truly mature and generally usable humanoid robots will still take about ten years; AI will not simply “eliminate jobs”, but rather reorganize work; in the next two years, AI doctors will become a very common entry point. Kevin Kelly also talked about China's AI industry. He believes that China's open source model is developing rapidly, and the gap with the US in terms of cutting-edge model capabilities is not that big anymore. Over the next five years, the capabilities of the most advanced models in China and the US may gradually converge, but the Chinese model may have an advantage in terms of cost. Based on this, he also proposed that in about four years, the world's best AI chips may be manufactured in China; by 2030, China may make the world's best autonomous vehicles.