Lithia Motors (LAD) And The Aftersales Story Behind Its Undervalued View

Simply Wall St · 18h ago

Lithia Motors (LAD) has drawn fresh attention after recent trading left the stock down about 15% over the past month, even as its past 3 months total return remains positive.

The recent pullback fits into a wider pattern for Lithia Motors, with the 7 day share price return down 11.66% and the 30 day share price return down 14.87%. However, the 90 day share price return remains positive at 7.26% and the 3 year total shareholder return is 10.20%.

Scan how Lithia Motors compares to a hand picked 33 high quality undervalued stocks that have recently pulled back but still show solid fundamentals.

Lithia Motors appears to be a full service auto platform with global reach and a long operating history, yet the share price has just taken a sharp step back. Is that business strength now being offered at a reasonable tag, or still a stretch?

Most Popular Narrative: 29% Undervalued

On the most followed narrative, Lithia Motors screens as undervalued, with a fair value estimate of $443.88 against a last close of $316.27, which puts the recent pullback in a very different light.

Sustained strength and growth in aftersales (service, parts, warranty) driven by the aging U.S. vehicle fleet and longer replacement cycles is boosting high-margin, recurring revenue streams. Over 60% of Lithia's net profit now comes from aftersales, providing stability and earnings growth not reflected in current valuations.

See why 4 investors see Lithia Motors as 29% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $443.88 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the bullish case for Lithia Motors can break if acquisition returns disappoint or if high SG&A costs keep pressuring profitability rather than easing over time.

Find out about the key risks to this Lithia Motors narrative.

Next Steps

Mixed signals around Lithia Motors can create both urgency and hesitation, so move quickly to review the underlying numbers, weigh the trade off between risk and upside, and judge whether the balance lines up with your own expectations by checking the 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.