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Is Intuit (INTU) Still Below Fair Value Following Its Dividend Rise And Guidance?

Simply Wall St · 1d ago

Dividend increase and fresh guidance put Intuit stock in focus

Intuit (INTU) has moved into the spotlight after its board approved a quarterly dividend of $1.38 per share, a 15% increase versus last year, alongside new earnings guidance and a completed buyback tranche.

Despite the dividend boost and fresh guidance, Intuit’s share price has been under pressure, with the stock down 7.4% over the past week and recording a year to date share price decline of 47.1%, while the 1 year total shareholder return is down 49.9%.

Spot opportunities beyond Intuit by scanning a curated 47 high quality undervalued stocks that combines solid cash generation with balance sheet strength.

Bulls point to Intuit’s dividend lift, ongoing buybacks and fresh earnings guidance. Bears focus on the share price slide and past year returns. Which side does the current valuation actually support next?

Most Popular Narrative: 40.6% Undervalued

According to the most followed Intuit narrative, the current share price of $332.70 sits well below an estimated fair value of $560, which frames the recent share price slide very differently from the headline returns.

The business quality here is not in question. The cash generation is phenomenal, the moat is real, the AI strategy is credible, and management has skin in the game. This is one of the highest-quality software businesses on the planet.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see why this narrative treats a sharp drawdown as opportunity, not failure? The fair value call leans heavily on durable cash generation, sturdy margins and a long runway for earnings.

Result: Fair Value of $560 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this Intuit thesis still faces pressure points. Mailchimp’s weaker contribution and any renewed US tax filing changes could quickly challenge the current undervalued narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Intuit narrative.

Next Steps

With sentiment around Intuit split between concern and optimism, this may be a good time to review the numbers yourself and decide how much the rewards matter to you by checking the 5 key rewards.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Intuit?

If Intuit has your attention, do not stop here. Use curated stock ideas from the Simply Wall Street Screener to keep building a stronger portfolio watchlist.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.