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To own StandardAero, you need to believe in sustained global demand for engine MRO across commercial, business and military fleets, and in the company’s ability to convert that demand into improving profitability. The Winnipeg expansion directly supports the CFM56 and CF34 growth thesis, but does not materially change the near term focus on ramping LEAP and CFM56 DFW from zero margin toward profitability or the key risk around persistent supply chain bottlenecks in critical engine parts.
Among recent developments, the 10 year, up to US$342.2 million U.S. Air Force T56 depot MRO contract stands out as especially relevant, as it reinforces StandardAero’s credentials as a long term military engine partner while the Winnipeg build out deepens civil CF34 and CFM56 coverage. Together, these moves underline how new facility investments and contract wins can support the broader catalyst of scaling high value engine programs and improving mix, even as investors weigh timing risks around learning curves and supply constraints.
Yet, while capacity is increasing, investors should be aware that persistent shortages in critical engine components could still...
Read the full narrative on StandardAero (it's free!)
StandardAero's narrative projects $7.3 billion revenue and $549.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.4% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $364.5 million from $184.7 million today.
Uncover how StandardAero's forecasts yield a $35.50 fair value, a 43% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see StandardAero’s fair value between US$33.70 and US$38.63, highlighting a tight but varied set of expectations. You should weigh these views against the possibility that ongoing supply chain constraints in engine parts may delay the company’s ability to translate its expanded MRO footprint into stronger cash generation and earnings momentum over time.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on StandardAero - why the stock might be worth just $33.70!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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