VinFast (VFS) Stock Still Looks Above Fair Value On 83% Fall

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

VinFast Auto stock has delivered heavy longer term losses for shareholders, yet the current market multiples suggest the shares still screen as expensive rather than a clear bargain. For investors looking at VinFast today, the core issue is how to weigh that weak track record against a low value score and an overvalued read on the broader checks.

  • Over the past 3 years, VinFast Auto has declined about 82.9%, which signals that long term investors have faced significant capital losses so far.
  • The valuation now rests heavily on how effectively VinFast can convert its electric vehicle ambitions into durable revenue and cash flow, while managing the risk that high capital needs and execution challenges keep pressure on profitability.
  • Across six separate checks, VinFast scores 0 out of 6 on value, which points to a stock that leans expensive on the broader framework rather than offering an obvious discount.

The issue now is whether VinFast Auto's current share price offers enough potential reward to justify those risks, given its recent valuation profile.

Balance the recent VinFast Auto share price pressure by scanning a curated list of other companies that currently screen as potential quality and value candidates with the 52 high quality undervalued stocks.

Has VinFast Auto Run Too Far on Sales?

The P/S multiple is often a useful way to look at VinFast Auto because the company is still building out its revenue base while reporting free cash flow losses. VinFast Auto currently trades on a P/S of about 1.9x, which is higher than both the Auto industry average of roughly 0.6x and the peer group average of about 0.9x. On simple comparisons, you are paying a richer sales multiple than many listed auto companies.

The fair P/S ratio generated by the model is about 0.1x. That figure is extremely low relative to the current 1.9x. The model is heavily penalising VinFast Auto for its recent losses, capital intensity and execution risks, so this output is better read as a warning that the stock screens very expensively on this framework rather than as a precise target level.

On the P/S multiple, VinFast Auto stock appears significantly overvalued relative to what this model suggests would be a more balanced sales-based valuation.

NasdaqGS:VFS P/S Ratio as at Sep 2026
NasdaqGS:VFS P/S Ratio as at Sep 2026

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

The VinFast Auto Narrative: What Would Justify Today's Price?

Simply Wall St Narratives for VinFast Auto pick up where the valuation puzzle leaves off by spelling out what mix of future growth, profit margins and earnings would need to play out for the stock to be worth materially more or materially less than the current price. Each Narrative links VinFast Auto's potential catalysts and key risks to a specific fair value view so you can track over time which version of events is actually unfolding on the Community page.

One of the top community narratives on VinFast Auto: 49% undervalued

"Ongoing expansion and accelerated adoption of electric vehicles in key emerging markets, particularly Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines, are set to drive sustained volume growth and revenue expansion…"

Read one of the top narratives on VinFast Auto

Do you think there's more to the story for VinFast Auto? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

The Bottom Line

VinFast Auto still screens as overvalued on market multiples, with the P/S ratio sitting well above sector and peer levels and the model flagging an extreme gap between current pricing and what it treats as a more balanced sales multiple. That gap is largely driven by the company’s recent losses, capital needs and execution risks, which the framework penalises heavily. For you, the key question is whether VinFast Auto can translate its electric vehicle plans into sustained revenue and cash flow quickly enough to justify that richer multiple, or whether the current valuation is already pricing in more progress than the business has yet delivered.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.