U.S. stock futures were mixed on Thursday, as the Dow Jones index slipped, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices rose, following Wednesday’s lower close.
Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani is traveling to Tehran on Thursday to spearhead mediation efforts aimed at reviving negotiations. While the pause in fighting has held for nearly a month, no diplomatic breakthrough has been reached; the U.S. reimposed a naval blockade against Iranian ports last month and enacted fresh economic sanctions following alleged violations in the Strait of Hormuz.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.66%, and the two-year bond was at 4.22%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool projections show markets pricing a 36.1% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking the current interest rates during its September meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.07% |
| S&P 500 | 0.39% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.97% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.14% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were higher in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was up 0.38% at $769.00, while the QQQ advanced by 1.00% to $718.50.
Health care, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks recorded the biggest losses on Wednesday as most S&P 500 sectors closed lower, though industrials and utilities bucked the market trend to finish higher.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | -0.21% | 53,463.88 |
| S&P 500 | -0.021% | 7,675.70 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.081% | 26,130.20 |
| Russell 2000 | -0.14% | 3,005.90 |
BlackRock foresees an unconventional landscape for the U.S. stock market and broader economy, driven by structural shifts rather than a typical business cycle. Despite rising long-term government bond yields, corporate profit forecasts continue to climb.
The BlackRock Investment Institute notes that these dual signals reflect a “structurally higher cost of capital” that calls for a fresh approach to portfolio design.
Rather than anticipating a classic downturn, BlackRock remains overweight on U.S. equities. They project U.S. corporate earnings to expand by 11.6% annually over the next five years—a growth trajectory matched in “only about 15% of historical five-year periods.”
This optimistic outlook relies heavily on technological adoption. As BlackRock highlights, this projection is “conditional on AI adoption boosting productivity and profit margins.”
Economically, intense capital competition among governments and tech hyperscalers is keeping upward pressure on long-term yields. BlackRock emphasizes that “long-standing macro anchors investors have come to rely upon, such as stable inflation expectations, become less reliable,” requiring investors to focus on underlying risk drivers over simple asset labels.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Thursday.
Crude Oil WTI futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.73% to hover around $81.63 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.11% to hover around $4,599.73 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.01% higher at the 99.1680 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.30% higher at $79,836.71 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets were mixed on Thursday, as South Korea’s Kospi and China’s CSI 300 indices rose. Australia’s ASX 200, India’s Nifty 50, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 indices fell. European markets were mostly lower in early trading.
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