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To hold Lendlease today, you really need to believe the refocused Australian platform and capital recycling program can eventually translate into more reliable earnings, despite the A$749 million full year loss. In the short term, the key catalyst is whether upcoming asset sales and cost actions can stabilise cash flows, while the biggest risk is that ongoing project issues and legacy impairments continue to erode margins and strain an already pressured balance sheet. This result materially intensifies both sides of that equation.
The most relevant recent announcement is the reduced ordinary dividend of A$0.09547763 per share for the half year, declared alongside the loss. Keeping a payout while cutting it back underlines management’s balancing act between rewarding unitholders and preserving capital as earnings remain negative. For investors watching catalysts, that dividend reset sits right at the intersection of cash flow health, gearing risk and confidence in the broader capital recycling story.
Yet against this, investors should be aware that the real concern now is whether elevated gearing and ongoing losses could...
Read the full narrative on Lendlease Group (it's free!)
Lendlease Group's narrative projects A$9.0 billion revenue and A$331.3 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Lendlease Group's forecasts yield a A$3.59 fair value, a 23% upside to its current price.
Before this result, the most optimistic analysts were assuming revenue could reach about A$13.9 billion and earnings A$243.3 million, which is far more upbeat than the consensus view and could be challenged by a year that has just delivered a A$749 million loss.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Lendlease Group - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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