Gubra A/S (CPH:GUBRA) missed earnings with its latest half-yearly results, disappointing overly-optimistic forecasters. It was a pretty negative result overall, with revenues of kr.126m missing analyst predictions by 3.8%. Worse, the business reported a statutory loss of kr.6.70 per share, much larger than the analysts had forecast prior to the result. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Gubra's three analysts is for revenues of kr.683.0m in 2026. This would reflect a huge 152% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Gubra is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of kr.7.45 per share. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr.456.2m and losses of kr.4.28 per share in 2026. It looks like there's been a definite improvement in business conditions, with a revenue upgrade expected to lead to profitability sooner than previously forecast.
See our latest analysis for Gubra
With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 6.7% to kr.501per share. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Gubra analyst has a price target of kr.600 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at kr.403. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Gubra's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 5x annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 67% p.a. over the past three years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 10% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Gubra to grow faster than the wider industry.
The most important thing to take away is that there's been a clear step-change in belief around the business' prospects, with the analysts now expecting Gubra to become profitable next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Gubra analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Even so, be aware that Gubra is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.