Some Analysts Just Cut Their Allianz SE (ETR:ALV) Estimates
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Allianz SE (ETR:ALV), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic.
Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for Allianz from its ten analysts is for revenues of €165b in 2026 which, if met, would be a major 38% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to be €30.75, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €190b and earnings per share (EPS) of €30.85 in 2026. Indeed we can see that the consensus opinion has undergone some fundamental changes following the recent consensus updates, with a measurable cut to revenues and some minor tweaks to earnings numbers.
View our latest analysis for Allianz
The consensus has reconfirmed its price target of €430, showing that the analysts don't expect weaker sales expectationsthis year to have a material impact on Allianz's market value.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Allianz's past performance and to peers in the same industry. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Allianz is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 90% annualised growth until the end of 2026. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 0.2% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 4.6% annually. Not only are Allianz's revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with analysts reconfirming that earnings per share are expected to continue performing in line with their prior expectations. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. Overall, given the drastic downgrade to this year's forecasts, we'd be feeling a little more wary of Allianz going forwards.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Allianz going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.