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To own Melco Resorts & Entertainment, you need to believe its premium mass focused resorts in Macau and newer markets can convert steady visitor demand into improving profitability, despite competitive pressure and a still leveraged balance sheet. The latest quarter’s higher earnings on softer revenue do not materially change that near term. The main near term catalyst remains execution on margins and cost discipline, while the biggest risk is that elevated debt and interest costs leave little room if gaming demand softens.
The most relevant update alongside these results is the confirmation that no shares were repurchased in the latest tranche under the new US$500 million buyback authorization. With earnings improving but interest coverage still tight, the pause in buybacks highlights that capital allocation is finely balanced against funding ongoing projects and servicing debt, which ties directly into how resilient the earnings recovery can be if operating trends become more volatile.
Yet investors should also be aware that if regional tourism slows or Macau promotions intensify, Melco’s premium focused model could...
Read the full narrative on Melco Resorts & Entertainment (it's free!)
Melco Resorts & Entertainment's narrative projects $5.8 billion revenue and $331.7 million earnings by 2029. This requires 3.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $96.9 million earnings increase from $234.8 million today.
Uncover how Melco Resorts & Entertainment's forecasts yield a $7.42 fair value, a 36% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest analysts were already cautious, assuming revenue of about US$5.5 billion and earnings near US$422 million by 2029, and your view on the latest softer revenue but higher profit may push you closer to or further from that more pessimistic outlook.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Melco Resorts & Entertainment - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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