The latest forecast from the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center model shows that the sea temperature has continued to abnormally warm in the equator Middle East and Pacific since this spring, and the peak in the critical area will be close to 3.5℃, which is higher than the June model forecast. This means that El Niño continues to develop and is likely to set new historical extremes. Tan Jing, a senior engineer at the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, said that El Niño usually lasts 9 to 12 months, and peak sea temperatures generally occur in the fall and winter months from November to February of the following year. This spring, abnormally warm seawater first appeared in the waters off the coast of Peru, then gradually spread westward. Monitoring by the National Marine Environment Forecasting Center revealed that the equatorial Middle East Pacific officially entered an El Niño state in May, and the rate of warming has accelerated markedly since then. What is even more alarming is that the current abnormal intensity of surface sea temperatures in the equatorial Middle East and Pacific Ocean has already surpassed the same period of the 1997-1998 and 2015-2016 super-intense El Niño events, and is developing even more rapidly.

The latest forecast from the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center model shows that the sea temperature has continued to abnormally warm in the equator Middle East and Pacific since this spring, and the peak in the critical area will be close to 3.5℃, which is higher than the June model forecast. This means that El Niño continues to develop and is likely to set new historical extremes. Tan Jing, a senior engineer at the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, said that El Niño usually lasts 9 to 12 months, and peak sea temperatures generally occur in the fall and winter months from November to February of the following year. This spring, abnormally warm seawater first appeared in the waters off the coast of Peru, then gradually spread westward. Monitoring by the National Marine Environment Forecasting Center revealed that the equatorial Middle East Pacific officially entered an El Niño state in May, and the rate of warming has accelerated markedly since then. What is even more alarming is that the current abnormal intensity of surface sea temperatures in the equatorial Middle East and Pacific Ocean has already surpassed the same period of the 1997-1998 and 2015-2016 super-intense El Niño events, and is developing even more rapidly.