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To own Singapore Exchange, you need to believe it can stay a key gateway for capital flows into Asia while broadening its multi asset franchise beyond equities. The latest full year results show higher revenue and net income, but do not materially change the near term catalyst, which is continued growth in derivatives and FX volumes. The biggest risk remains that competition from larger regional venues and alternative platforms could pull liquidity away if trading activity normalizes.
Among recent developments, the expansion of SGX’s derivatives shelf through the new licensing agreement with MSCI feels most relevant to these results. Adding dozens of MSCI linked contracts deepens SGX’s equity derivatives offering at a time when derivatives and FICC are central to its growth story. It also ties directly into the short term catalyst of sustaining higher trading volumes, while potentially amplifying the risk of earnings volatility if derivatives activity were to weaken.
Yet behind the headline earnings growth, investors should also be aware of the growing risk that heavier reliance on derivatives could...
Read the full narrative on Singapore Exchange (it's free!)
Singapore Exchange's narrative projects SGD1.8 billion revenue and SGD885.8 million earnings by 2029. This requires 7.9% yearly revenue growth and about SGD235 million earnings increase from SGD650.7 million today.
Uncover how Singapore Exchange's forecasts yield a SGD22.33 fair value, a 9% downside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already cautious, assuming SGX’s earnings might reach about S$897.7 million on S$1.9 billion revenue, highlighting how differently you and they might view risks like heavier derivatives dependence despite the latest results, and inviting you to compare these expectations with your own.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Singapore Exchange - why the stock might be worth 31% less than the current price!
Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
Early movers are already taking notice. See the stocks they're targeting before they've flown the coop:
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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