Rémy Cointreau (ENXTPA:RCO) Reaffirmed Guidance And Q1 Sales Growth, Is The Stock Expensive?
Guidance confirmation and Q1 sales update for Rémy Cointreau stock
Rémy Cointreau (ENXTPA:RCO) reaffirmed its earnings guidance for fiscal 2026-27, expecting a slight organic improvement in operating margin, and reported first quarter 2026 sales of €223.2 million, up 1.1% year on year.
See our latest analysis for Rémy Cointreau.
Rémy Cointreau shares have reacted positively to the guidance confirmation, with a 1-day share price return of 2.69% and a 30-day share price return of 7.52%. However, longer term total shareholder returns remain weak, including a 5-year total shareholder return that has fallen 70.18%. This points to short term momentum building from a lower base.
If this renewed interest in Rémy Cointreau has you thinking more broadly about where growth could come from next, it can help to scan beyond a single stock. One place to start is a focused list of 106 top founder-led companies
After the recent rebound in Rémy Cointreau shares, the market price now sits close to some estimates but above others. So where does a reasonable view of fair value actually land within that spread?
Most Popular Narrative: 33.1% Overvalued
The most followed narrative for Rémy Cointreau puts fair value at €35, which sits well below the last close at €46.6, and frames the current price as demanding.
The assumed bearish price target for Rémy Cointreau is €35.0, which represents up to two standard deviations below the consensus price target of €44.17. This valuation is based on what can be assumed as the expectations of Rémy Cointreau's future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors from analysts on the more bearish end of the spectrum.
Want to see what keeps that fair value well below today’s price? Revenue growth, slimmer margins and a premium earnings multiple all pull in different directions.
Result: Fair Value of €35 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, there are also clear swing factors for Rémy Cointreau, including execution on the €100m mid term EBIT plan and the ability to protect margins through disciplined pricing.
Find out about the key risks to this Rémy Cointreau narrative.
Another View on Rémy Cointreau’s Value
The analyst narrative points to fair value of €35, which frames Rémy Cointreau as overvalued at €46.6. Our SWS DCF model lands slightly higher at €48.18, which treats the stock as around 3% undervalued. So which story do you think better reflects the risks you care about?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Rémy Cointreau for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 255 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
Sentiment on Rémy Cointreau in this article is mixed, which is exactly why it helps to move fast and test the numbers yourself. To see the balance of possible upsides and the key issues investors are watching, start with the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
Looking for more investment ideas beyond Rémy Cointreau?
If you are reassessing Rémy Cointreau today, it is a good moment to widen the net and shortlist a few fresh stock ideas for your watchlist.
- Spot potential value opportunities early by reviewing the 255 high quality undervalued stocks that combine quality fundamentals with attractive pricing.
- Strengthen your income focus by checking out the 439 dividend fortresses that target higher yields with resilient payout histories.
- Prioritise resilience by scanning the 299 resilient stocks with low risk scores so you do not overlook companies with steadier risk profiles.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com