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To own Ionis Pharmaceuticals, you need to believe its RNA-targeted platform can convert late-stage programs and new launches like TRYNGOLZA into durable, expanding revenue, despite current losses. The latest quarter, with revenue of US$268 million and a net loss of US$115 million, broadly supports that thesis but does not materially change the near term focus on upcoming FDA decisions for assets like zilganersen and bepirovirsen, or the key risk around pricing and launch execution.
Among recent updates, the Priority Review of zilganersen for Alexander disease stands out here, because it reinforces Ionis’ dependence on a small set of late stage approvals to justify rising R&D and commercialization spend. As with the TRYNGOLZA launch, the outcome and eventual uptake of zilganersen will feed directly into whether Ionis’ current loss making profile can move toward the earnings power some analysts expect over the next few years.
Yet behind the strong pipeline story, investors should be aware that pricing pressure across FCS, sHTG and newer indications could...
Read the full narrative on Ionis Pharmaceuticals (it's free!)
Ionis Pharmaceuticals’ narrative projects $2.2 billion revenue and $212.1 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Ionis Pharmaceuticals' forecasts yield a $92.00 fair value, a 66% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts were assuming Ionis could reach about US$2.8 billion in revenue and US$456.4 million in earnings by 2029, but after a quarter where revenue beat expectations while losses widened and key approvals still carry clinical and regulatory risk, you can see how views on pricing pressure and launch outcomes might shift, so it is worth comparing these bullish assumptions with more cautious scenarios for yourself.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Ionis Pharmaceuticals - why the stock might be worth just $79.71!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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