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Bilia (OM:BILI A) Stock Faces Narratives As EPS Recovery Outpaces Five Year Earnings Drag

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Bilia (OM:BILI A) has just posted Q2 2026 revenue of about SEK10.9b and Basic EPS of SEK2.51, with trailing 12 month EPS at SEK9.15 and earnings over that period up 31.5% year over year. Over recent quarters, the company has seen revenue range from SEK9.6b in Q1 2026 to SEK10.5b in Q2 2025, while Basic EPS has moved between SEK1.61 and SEK2.51. This pattern sets the stage for a recovery that sits alongside a weaker five year earnings trend and gradually improving margins over the past year.

See our full analysis for Bilia.

With the latest numbers on the table, the next step is to see how these results line up with the prevailing narratives investors follow and where the data may challenge those stories.

See what the community is saying about Bilia

OM:BILI A Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jul 2026
OM:BILI A Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jul 2026

Margins Edge Up With 2.1% Net Profit

  • Over the last 12 months, Bilia converted SEK40.4b of revenue into SEK843m of net income, which works out to a 2.1% net margin compared with 1.6% a year earlier.
  • Consensus narrative points to Bilia leaning more on higher-margin service work and integration of new EV brands. The current 2.1% margin fits that story in parts, but:
    • Aftersales and workshop services linked to older cars and EVs are described as supporting recurring earnings, which is consistent with net income holding at SEK843m on roughly SEK40.4b of sales.
    • At the same time, structural pressure in Swedish used cars and service operations is flagged, so a 2.1% margin still looks modest against those headwinds rather than a clear break from them.

Bilia’s 31.5% Earnings Lift Versus Longer-Term Drag

  • Trailing 12-month earnings rose 31.5% year over year to SEK843m, while the five-year earnings trend reflects a 19.6% annual decline over that longer stretch.
  • Bulls focus on the recent recovery in profitability, and this 31.5% rise backs parts of that, yet longer-term figures keep the debate open:
    • The bullish view highlights expansion into older car servicing and growing EV-related work as drivers of more resilient earnings, which lines up with the step up from SEK641m to SEK843m in trailing net income over the last year.
    • However, the five-year decline of 19.6% per year in earnings shows that the business has previously faced pressure, so the latest lift has not yet erased the longer-term softness that cautious investors point to.
For a closer look at how optimistic investors connect these earnings shifts to Bilia’s future profit potential, check out the 🐂 Bilia Bull Case

Valuation Gap With 15.7x P/E and DCF Fair Value

  • At a share price of SEK144.30, Bilia trades on a 15.7x P/E, below the 21.1x peer average, and compared with a DCF fair value of SEK230.66 per share.
  • Bears argue that high debt and weaker cash flow coverage for the 4.16% dividend justify caution even with this discount, and the numbers give that concern some weight:
    • The dividend is flagged as not being well covered by free cash flow, so income-focused investors are relying on improvement rather than current coverage to sustain that 4.16% yield.
    • High leverage sits alongside the lower P/E and the discount to the DCF fair value, which means part of the gap between SEK144.30 and SEK230.66 can reasonably be linked to balance sheet and cash flow risk rather than pure mispricing.
If you want to see how cautious investors frame these balance sheet and dividend concerns around the current valuation, have a look at the 🐻 Bilia Bear Case

Next Steps

To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Bilia on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.

If the mixed signals around Bilia leave you unsure, now is a good time to weigh the upside and downside for yourself using the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.

See What Else Is Out There Beyond Bilia

Bilia carries a 15.7x P/E with a modest 2.1% net margin, high leverage, and dividends that are not well covered by free cash flow.

If those balance sheet and cash flow pressures make you cautious, now is the time to scan companies screened for sturdier finances using the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (416 results).

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.