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To own Air Liquide, you need to believe in its ability to turn long-term industrial gas contracts and energy transition projects into resilient cash flows, despite cyclical end markets and ongoing heavy CapEx. The new US$200,000,000 low carbon POX unit in Texas supports that long-horizon, project-based story, but does not materially change the near term focus on keeping volumes steady in softer regions and managing leverage as investment needs remain high.
Among recent announcements, the more than US$350,000,000 commitment to expand air separation capacity for HYUNDAI POSCO Louisiana looks most relevant, as it also ties large CapEx to long-term, lower carbon industrial demand. Together with the Bay City POX project, it reinforces how much of Air Liquide’s future depends on securing and executing large energy transition and industrial contracts, even as investors weigh the risks of project timing, capital intensity and balance sheet flexibility.
Yet while these projects can support long-term growth, investors should also be aware that...
Read the full narrative on L'Air Liquide (it's free!)
L'Air Liquide's narrative projects €31.0 billion revenue and €4.8 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 4.7% yearly revenue growth and about a €1.3 billion earnings increase from €3.5 billion today.
Uncover how L'Air Liquide's forecasts yield a €188.63 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community see Air Liquide’s fair value between €160 and about €233, with estimates spread across that range. Set against this breadth of opinion, the company’s ongoing dependence on timely execution of large energy transition and electronics projects shows why you may want to compare several viewpoints before deciding how its future performance could unfold.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on L'Air Liquide - why the stock might be worth as much as 32% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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