Verizon Business and KDDI’s new collaboration with Bayerische Motoren Werke (XTRA:BMW) to deliver 5G telematics connectivity across newly manufactured U.S. vehicles puts BMW’s connected car capabilities in focus for investors tracking the stock.
See our latest analysis for Bayerische Motoren Werke.
Despite the connected car news and recent sales headlines, Bayerische Motoren Werke’s share price has fallen 13.55% over the past month and is down 39.87% year to date, while the 1-year total shareholder return has declined 26.61%. This suggests fading momentum as investors reassess growth prospects and risks.
If this shift in sentiment around BMW has you thinking about where else growth stories might emerge, it could be a good time to scan 32 robotics and automation stocks.
The sell off in Bayerische Motoren Werke comes as the business reports mixed regional volumes, new 5G-connected models and a drop from a major index. Is the lower share price now mostly sentiment, or does it reflect fundamentals?
On current figures, Bayerische Motoren Werke trades on a P/E of 5.2x, and the valuation signals from Simply Wall St suggest the stock is being priced below peers and below an internally estimated fair value.
The P/E multiple compares the current share price of €57.92 with the earnings generated per share. It effectively shows how much investors are paying for each euro of BMW’s earnings. For a large, profitable automotive and financial services group that reports earnings growth of 3.4% over the past year and net profit of €6,819m on revenue of €130,702m, this is a relatively low headline number.
Analysts are in good agreement that BMW is trading 30.7% below their average price target of €75.72, and the Simply Wall St DCF model indicates the share price is 59.4% below an estimated future cash flow value of €142.54. In that context, the current 5.2x P/E is well below the estimated fair P/E of 9.7x that the fair ratio work suggests the market could move toward over time.
In addition, BMW’s 5.2x P/E is materially lower than the global auto industry average P/E of 14.4x, and also below the peer average P/E of 36.8x. This points to a marked valuation gap versus comparable companies on earnings.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Bayerische Motoren Werke
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 5.2x (UNDERVALUED)
However, Bayerische Motoren Werke’s share price slide, index exclusion and mixed regional volumes highlight sentiment, execution and cyclical demand risks that could continue to put pressure on the stock.
Find out about the key risks to this Bayerische Motoren Werke narrative.
The earnings based view presents Bayerische Motoren Werke as inexpensive, and the Simply Wall St DCF model also indicates undervaluation, with an estimated future cash flow value of €142.54 compared to the current €57.92. Both approaches point in the same direction, so where is the catch for long term investors?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Bayerische Motoren Werke for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 218 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
If this mix of potential value and clear risks around Bayerische Motoren Werke leaves you unsure, act quickly, review the full data set, and weigh both sides with the help of 5 key rewards and 2 important warning signs
If Bayerische Motoren Werke has sharpened your focus on value and risk, do not stop here. Use targeted stock lists to uncover other opportunities that fit your style.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com